Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
GIL Vicente v FC Porto takes place on 24 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos); L. M. Branco Godinho will referee. We back FC Porto (65%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 7.50 | 4.67 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 7.11 | 4.41 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.34 | 3.21 | 29.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.06 | 2.04 | 45.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:02. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: GIL Vicente 7th (14 points), FC Porto 1st (30 points).
- Form in the competition: GIL Vicente 4W 2D 2L (8:6), FC Porto 8W 0D 0L (20:4).
- H2H: 26 matches: GIL Vicente 5W 3D 18L, goals 19–49.
- Absences: GIL Vicente 0, FC Porto 0.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: injuries, suspensions, absences
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
GIL Vicente
Home and away
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. GIL Vicente: 7th, 14 points from 9 matches (4W 2D 3L). FC Porto: 1st, 30 points (10W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: GIL Vicente 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, FC Porto 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 2L, goals 8–6; FC Porto: 8W 0D 0L, goals 20–4.
- Head to head. Head to head over 26 meetings: GIL Vicente 5 wins, FC Porto 18 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 19–49.
What to expect
We make FC Porto the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (13.1%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like At least one team fails to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 26; GIL Vicente 5 wins, 3 draws, FC Porto 18 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: GIL Vicente 8–6, FC Porto 20–4.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: GIL Vicente 0, FC Porto 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 54%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for GIL Vicente: no absences. Not available for FC Porto: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
GIL VicenteLWWDLFC PortoWWWWWGIL Vicente vs FC Porto: head to head
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GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
On the result, our pick is FC Porto to win (1.50); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or FC Porto (X2).
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
As we see it: GIL Vicente to win 13%, the draw 21%, FC Porto to win 65%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 20:30, at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho.
Who will be missing?
GIL Vicente: no absences. FC Porto: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.94), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.06).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (13.1%), 0–2 (12.8%), 1–1 (9.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.