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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11 · 20 November 2026 · 19:45

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre tip, odds and prediction, 20 November 2026, Ligue 1

1Estac Troyes2.21
XDraw3.82
2Le Havre3.32

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Estac Troyes entertain Le Havre on 20 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Estac Troyes or draw (1X)
1.38
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
71%chance of the result
66%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.213.823.32
Market average2.163.583.24
Lowest odds2.103.403.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2277.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7554.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.1345.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.862.7933.9%
BTTS – yes1.651.6058.2%
BTTS – no2.302.2341.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Havre, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Havre 18th (2 points).
  • Absences: Estac Troyes 0, Le Havre 0.

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

Estac Troyes44%
Draw27%
Le Havre29%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals77.4% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.25
Likely
Estac Troyes or draw (1X)70.7% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.2% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.18
Outsider
Estac Troyes to win44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.21
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.86
Outsider
Le Havre to win29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.32
Outsider
Draw26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.82
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
2 : 19.3%
1 : 09.3%
2 : 07.4%
1 : 27.2%
0 : 17.2%

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: injuries, suspensions, absences

Estac Troyes

  • No reported absences

Le Havre

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Estac Troyes

31 OctWEstac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans
25 OctDToulouse 0–0 Estac Troyes
17 OctLEstac Troyes 1–3 Lens
11 OctLEstac Troyes 0–2 Marseille
19 SeptLAngers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Le Havre

30 OctLLe Havre 1–5 Paris Saint Germain
25 OctLMarseille 4–3 Le Havre
18 OctLLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
10 OctLLille 1–0 Le Havre
19 SeptLToulouse 3–2 Le Havre

Home and away

Estac Troyes at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–11
Le Havre away4 matches: 0W 1D 3L, goals 6–9

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Estac Troyes: 16th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L). Le Havre: 18th, 2 points (0W 2D 7L).

What to expect

We make Estac Troyes the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  2. Not available: Estac Troyes 0, Le Havre 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Estac Troyes: no absences. Not available for Le Havre: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

On the result, our pick is Estac Troyes or draw (1X) (1.38); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Estac Troyes or draw (1X).

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

As we see it: Estac Troyes to win 44%, the draw 27%, Le Havre to win 29%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 November 2026, 19:45, at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.

Who will be missing?

Estac Troyes: no absences. Le Havre: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.79), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.65).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.6%), 2–1 (9.3%), 1–0 (9.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.