Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Havre entertain Paris Saint Germain on 30 October 2026 · 18:00 at Stade Océane (Le Havre), with François Letexier the man in the middle. Paris Saint Germain (73%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 10.15 | 6.65 | 1.38 |
| Market average | 8.62 | 5.88 | 1.31 |
| Lowest odds | 7.43 | 5.42 | 1.24 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.41 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.85 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.04 | 46.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Havre 0W 2D 6L (8:15), Paris Saint Germain 5W 2D 1L (16:9).
- H2H: 9 matches: Le Havre 0W 1D 8L, goals 6–31.
- Absences: Le Havre 6, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: injuries, suspensions, absences
Le Havre
- E. Jelertthigh injury · will miss the match
- F. MambimbiAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- L. Mpasi-NzauAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- T. Pembelemuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Toureknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Zagadouknee injury · will miss the match
Paris Saint Germain
- O. Dembelethigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Kvaratskheliaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Longoniinjury · will miss the match
- Marquinhosthigh injury · will miss the match
- N. Mendesmuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Havre
Home and away
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Le Havre: 18th, 2 points from 9 matches (0W 2D 7L). Paris Saint Germain: 1st, 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Le Havre 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded, Paris Saint Germain 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Le Havre: 0W 2D 6L, goals 8–15; Paris Saint Germain: 5W 2D 1L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Le Havre 0 wins, Paris Saint Germain 8 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 6–31.
What to expect
We make Paris Saint Germain the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 67% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Le Havre 0 wins, 1 draw, Paris Saint Germain 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Le Havre 8–15, Paris Saint Germain 16–9.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Not available: Le Havre 6, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Le Havre: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou. Not available for Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Le HavreLLLLLParis Saint GermainWWWWWLe Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: head to head
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Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
On the result, our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win (1.38); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2).
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
As we see it: Le Havre to win 11%, the draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain to win 73%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 18:00, at Stade Océane, Le Havre. Referee: François Letexier.
Who will be missing?
Le Havre: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou. Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.45), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (10.3%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–3 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.