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Championship · Matchweek 14 · 3 November 2026 · 19:45

Watford vs Lincoln tip, odds and prediction, 3 November 2026, Championship

LLWLL
VS
LWDLL
1Watford2.45
XDraw3.51
2Lincoln2.95

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:15

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Watford v Lincoln takes place on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Vicarage Road (Watford); James Bell will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Watford vs Lincoln: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Watford or draw (1X)
1.44
Goals
Both teams to score
1.73
67%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Watford vs Lincoln: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.453.512.95
Market average2.423.382.82
Lowest odds2.403.252.75
Megapari2.403.342.79
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2773.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.921.8950.1%
Under 2.5 goals1.931.8949.9%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.1429.7%
BTTS – yes1.731.6855.2%
BTTS – no2.102.0744.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Watford 1–1 Lincoln, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Watford 21st (11 points), Lincoln 16th (15 points).
  • Form in the competition: Watford 3W 2D 8L (12:23), Lincoln 4W 3D 6L (14:23).
  • Absences: Watford 5, Lincoln 3.

Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?

Watford39%
Draw28%
Lincoln33%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Watford vs Lincoln: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals73.4% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.3% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.36
Likely
Watford or draw (1X)66.7% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.73
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.1% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.92
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.9% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.93
Outsider
Both teams score: no44.8% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.10
Outsider
Watford to win38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.45
Outsider
Lincoln to win33.3% · fair odds 3.00 · best 2.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.7% · fair odds 3.37 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw27.9% · fair odds 3.59 · best 3.51
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.4%
1 : 09.9%
0 : 18.8%
2 : 18.7%
1 : 27.7%
0 : 07.1%

Watford vs Lincoln: injuries, suspensions, absences

Watford

  • M. Antonionot in the squad · will miss the match
  • K. Baahknock · will miss the match
  • E. Boveknee injury · will miss the match
  • S. Coulibalyhamstring injury · will miss the match
  • J. Ngakiathigh injury · will miss the match

Lincoln

  • T. Darikwaknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Meliathigh injury · will miss the match
  • E. Wheatleynot in the squad · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Watford vs Lincoln: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Watford

31 OctLNorwich 3–2 Watford
24 OctLWolves 1–0 Watford
17 OctWWatford 2–0 Charlton
13 OctLCardiff 5–1 Watford
10 OctLWatford 0–4 Burnley

Lincoln

31 OctLLincoln 1–3 Birmingham
24 OctWLincoln 4–1 Burnley
17 OctDMillwall 2–2 Lincoln
14 OctLLincoln 0–6 West Ham
10 OctLSheffield Utd 3–0 Lincoln

Home and away

Watford at home6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 8–9
Lincoln away6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 6–7

Watford vs Lincoln: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Watford: 21st, 11 points from 13 matches (3W 2D 8L). Lincoln: 16th, 15 points (4W 3D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Watford 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded, Lincoln 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Watford: 3W 2D 8L, goals 12–23; Lincoln: 4W 3D 6L, goals 14–23.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

The two signals clash: on table position the Lincoln look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Watford 12–23, Lincoln 14–23.
  2. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
  3. Not available: Watford 5, Lincoln 3.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Watford: M. Antonio, K. Baah, E. Bove, S. Coulibaly, J. Ngakia. Not available for Lincoln: T. Darikwa, M. Melia, E. Wheatley. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Watford vs Lincoln: the numbers side by side

WatfordLincoln
43%Form57%
42%Attack58%
54%Defence46%
45.8%Overall54.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

WatfordLLWLL
LincolnLWDLL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

Watford vs Lincoln: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Watford vs Lincoln?

On the result, our pick is Watford or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Watford or draw (1X).

Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?

As we see it: Watford to win 39%, the draw 28%, Lincoln to win 33%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

3 November 2026, 19:45, at Vicarage Road, Watford. Referee: James Bell.

Who will be missing?

Watford: M. Antonio, K. Baah, E. Bove, S. Coulibaly, J. Ngakia. Lincoln: T. Darikwa, M. Melia, E. Wheatley. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.92), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.93).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (9.9%), 0–1 (8.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.