Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Norwich v Watford takes place on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Carrow Road (Norwich); Ben Speedie will referee. We back Norwich (64%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Norwich vs Watford: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.52 | 4.80 | 6.68 |
| Market average | 1.47 | 4.52 | 6.05 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 3.92 | 4.81 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.43 | 2.36 | 40.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 09:42. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Norwich 2–1 Watford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Norwich 15th (15 points), Watford 21st (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Norwich 4W 0D 8L (20:22), Watford 3W 2D 7L (10:20).
- H2H: 21 matches: Norwich 10W 0D 11L, goals 37–31.
- Absences: Norwich 6, Watford 5.
Who will win Norwich vs Watford?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Norwich vs Watford: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Norwich vs Watford: injuries, suspensions, absences
Norwich
- A. Ahmedknee injury · will miss the match
- P. A. Dialloinjury · will miss the match
- G. Forsythabsence · will miss the match
- M. Toureshoulder injury · will miss the match
- P. Mattssonabsence · doubtful
- M. Topicabsence · doubtful
Watford
- M. Antonionot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Baahknock · will miss the match
- E. Boveknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Coulibalyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Ngakiathigh injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Norwich vs Watford: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Norwich
Home and away
Norwich vs Watford: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Norwich: 15th, 15 points from 13 matches (5W 0D 8L). Watford: 21st, 11 points (3W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Norwich 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded, Watford 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Norwich: 4W 0D 8L, goals 20–22; Watford: 3W 2D 7L, goals 10–20.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Norwich 10 wins, Watford 11 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 37–31.
What to expect
We make Norwich the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; Norwich 10 wins, 0 draws, Watford 11 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Norwich 20–22, Watford 10–20.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Norwich 6, Watford 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Norwich: A. Ahmed, P. A. Diallo, G. Forsyth, M. Toure, P. Mattsson, M. Topic. Not available for Watford: M. Antonio, K. Baah, E. Bove, S. Coulibaly, J. Ngakia. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Norwich vs Watford: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
NorwichWWLLLWatfordLLWLLNorwich vs Watford: head to head
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Norwich vs Watford: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Norwich vs Watford?
On the result, our pick is Norwich to win (1.52); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Norwich or draw (1X).
Who will win Norwich vs Watford?
As we see it: Norwich to win 64%, the draw 21%, Watford to win 16%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 12:30, at Carrow Road, Norwich. Referee: Ben Speedie.
Who will be missing?
Norwich: A. Ahmed, P. A. Diallo, G. Forsyth, M. Toure, P. Mattsson, M. Topic. Watford: M. Antonio, K. Baah, E. Bove, S. Coulibaly, J. Ngakia. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.57), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.51).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.