Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lincoln entertain Burnley on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Sincil Bank (Lincoln), with Thomas Parsons, England the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Lincoln vs Burnley: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.88 | 3.53 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.75 | 3.41 | 2.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.27 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.11 | 30.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.11 | 44.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lincoln 1–1 Burnley, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lincoln 16th (15 points), Burnley 22nd (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Lincoln 3W 3D 5L (9:19), Burnley 1W 5D 5L (16:21).
- H2H: 2 matches: Lincoln 2W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
- Absences: Lincoln 5, Burnley 15.
Who will win Lincoln vs Burnley?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lincoln vs Burnley: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lincoln vs Burnley: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lincoln
- T. Darikwaknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Draperabsence · will miss the match
- T. Hamerred card · will miss the match
- M. Meliathigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Wheatleynot in the squad · will miss the match
Burnley
- E. Agyeiabsence · will miss the match
- A. Ahmedhodzicknock · will miss the match
- Z. Amdouniankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Barnesmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Beyerhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Bruun Larseninjury · will miss the match
- B. Humphreysmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Mejbrihamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Obafeminot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Ramseyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Sambonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Tresor Ndayishimiyenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Vardyinjury · will miss the match
- J. Banelmuscle injury · doubtful
- J. Cullenknee injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lincoln vs Burnley: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Lincoln
Home and away
Lincoln vs Burnley: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lincoln: 16th, 15 points from 13 matches (4W 3D 6L). Burnley: 22nd, 9 points (1W 6D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lincoln 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded, Burnley 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lincoln: 3W 3D 5L, goals 9–19; Burnley: 1W 5D 5L, goals 16–21.
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Lincoln 2 wins, Burnley 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 5–1.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Lincoln look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the away side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; Lincoln 2 wins, 0 draws, Burnley 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lincoln 9–19, Burnley 16–21.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: Lincoln 5, Burnley 15.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lincoln: T. Darikwa, F. Draper, T. Hamer, M. Melia, E. Wheatley. Not available for Burnley: E. Agyei, A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, A. Barnes, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Vardy, J. Banel, J. Cullen. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lincoln vs Burnley: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LincolnLWDLLBurnleyDLLDWLincoln vs Burnley: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lincoln vs Burnley: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lincoln vs Burnley?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Burnley (X2) (1.47); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Burnley (X2).
Who will win Lincoln vs Burnley?
As we see it: Lincoln to win 34%, the draw 28%, Burnley to win 38%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at Sincil Bank, Lincoln. Referee: Thomas Parsons, England.
Who will be missing?
Lincoln: T. Darikwa, F. Draper, T. Hamer, M. Melia, E. Wheatley. Burnley: E. Agyei, A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, A. Barnes, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Vardy, J. Banel, J. Cullen. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.93), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 0–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.