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Championship · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 12:30

Watford vs Charlton tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, Championship

LLWLL
2–0
1Watford2.64
XDraw3.40
2Charlton2.80

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 10:01

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Watford v Charlton takes place on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at Vicarage Road (Watford); Thomas Bramall will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Watford vs Charlton: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Watford or draw (1X)
1.43
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
66%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Watford vs Charlton: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.643.402.80
Market average2.503.332.74
Lowest odds2.453.202.70
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2872.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.971.9049.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.921.8750.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.1929.2%
BTTS – yes1.701.6954.8%
BTTS – no2.102.0545.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 10:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Watford 1–1 Charlton, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Watford 21st (11 points), Charlton 20th (14 points).
  • Absences: Watford 0, Charlton 0.

Who will win Watford vs Charlton?

Watford38%
Draw28%
Charlton34%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Watford vs Charlton: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals72.4% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.34
Likely
Watford or draw (1X)65.7% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.43
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.8% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.92
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.97
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.10
Outsider
Watford to win37.5% · fair odds 2.66 · best 2.64
Outsider
Charlton to win34.3% · fair odds 2.92 · best 2.80
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.2% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw28.2% · fair odds 3.55 · best 3.40
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.02
probability of over 53.9%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.60 · Under 2.25
probability of over 58.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.4%
1 : 09.5%
0 : 19.2%
2 : 18.4%
1 : 28.1%
0 : 07.1%

Watford vs Charlton: injuries, suspensions, absences

Watford

  • No reported absences

Charlton

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Watford vs Charlton: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Watford

31 OctLNorwich 3–2 Watford
24 OctLWolves 1–0 Watford
17 OctWWatford 2–0 Charlton
13 OctLCardiff 5–1 Watford
10 OctLWatford 0–4 Burnley

Charlton

31 OctLMiddlesbrough 3–0 Charlton
24 OctLCharlton 1–3 Norwich
17 OctLWatford 2–0 Charlton
13 OctDBurnley 2–2 Charlton
10 OctDCharlton 1–1 Bristol City

Home and away

Watford at home6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 8–9
Charlton away7 matches: 1W 2D 4L, goals 6–16

Watford vs Charlton: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Watford: 21st, 11 points from 13 matches (3W 2D 8L). Charlton: 20th, 14 points (3W 5D 5L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
  2. Not available: Watford 0, Charlton 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Watford: no absences. Not available for Charlton: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Watford vs Charlton: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Watford vs Charlton?

On the result, our pick is Watford or draw (1X) (1.43); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Watford or draw (1X).

Who will win Watford vs Charlton?

As we see it: Watford to win 38%, the draw 28%, Charlton to win 34%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 12:30, at Vicarage Road, Watford. Referee: Thomas Bramall.

Who will be missing?

Watford: no absences. Charlton: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.97), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.92).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (9.5%), 0–1 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.