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Championship · Matchweek 14 · 3 November 2026 · 19:45

Charlton vs Bolton tip, odds and prediction, 3 November 2026, Championship

VS
LLDWL
1Charlton2.28
XDraw3.60
2Bolton3.10

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:15

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Charlton and Bolton meet on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at The Valley (London), under referee Steve Martin. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Charlton vs Bolton: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Charlton or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.45
69%chance of the result
67%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Charlton vs Bolton: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.283.603.10
Market average2.233.513.05
Lowest odds2.183.403.00
Megapari2.203.483.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2276.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7454.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.132.0645.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.8133.2%
BTTS – yes1.611.5958.4%
BTTS – no2.302.2341.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.2%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Charlton 1–1 Bolton, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Charlton 20th (14 points), Bolton 19th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Charlton 3W 5D 5L (11:21), Bolton 4W 2D 7L (18:26).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Charlton 5W 7D 6L, goals 23–28.
  • Absences: Charlton 3, Bolton 4.

Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?

Charlton42%
Draw27%
Bolton31%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Charlton vs Bolton: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals76.5% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.25
Likely
Charlton or draw (1X)69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.8% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.45
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.61
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.13
Outsider
Charlton to win42.2% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.28
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.2% · fair odds 3.01 · best 2.88
Outsider
Bolton to win30.9% · fair odds 3.23 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw26.9% · fair odds 3.72 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.99 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 09.0%
1 : 27.6%
0 : 17.5%
2 : 06.9%

Charlton vs Bolton: injuries, suspensions, absences

Charlton

  • R. Apterknee injury · will miss the match
  • C. Sichenjeknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Goddenmuscle injury · doubtful

Bolton

  • E. Erhahonthigh injury · will miss the match
  • R. Hardiehamstring injury · will miss the match
  • J. McAteeknee injury · will miss the match
  • J. Nelsonnot in the squad · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Charlton vs Bolton: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Charlton

31 OctLMiddlesbrough 3–0 Charlton
24 OctLCharlton 1–3 Norwich
17 OctLWatford 2–0 Charlton
13 OctDBurnley 2–2 Charlton
10 OctDCharlton 1–1 Bristol City

Bolton

31 OctLBolton 2–3 Bristol City
23 OctLBolton 1–5 Middlesbrough
17 OctDSouthampton 0–0 Bolton
13 OctWWolves 1–3 Bolton
10 OctLBolton 1–2 Stoke City

Home and away

Charlton at home6 matches: 2W 3D 1L, goals 5–5
Bolton away6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 9–11

Charlton vs Bolton: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Charlton: 20th, 14 points from 13 matches (3W 5D 5L). Bolton: 19th, 14 points (4W 2D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Charlton 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, Bolton 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Charlton: 3W 5D 5L, goals 11–21; Bolton: 4W 2D 7L, goals 18–26.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Charlton 5 wins, Bolton 6 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 23–28.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 67% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 18; Charlton 5 wins, 7 draws, Bolton 6 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Charlton 11–21, Bolton 18–26.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
  5. Not available: Charlton 3, Bolton 4.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.61). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, M. Godden. Not available for Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Charlton vs Bolton: the numbers side by side

CharltonBolton
33%Form67%
36%Attack64%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
44.7%Overall55.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

CharltonLLLDD
BoltonLLDWL

Charlton vs Bolton: head to head

All matches
5Charlton
7Draws
6Bolton
21/1/25 · Bolton 1–2 Charlton
24/8/24 · Charlton 2–0 Bolton
17/2/24 · Bolton 3–3 Charlton
28/10/23 · Charlton 0–2 Bolton
28/1/23 · Charlton 1–2 Bolton
3/9/22 · Bolton 3–1 Charlton

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.2%

Charlton vs Bolton: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Charlton vs Bolton?

On the result, our pick is Charlton or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Charlton or draw (1X).

Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?

As we see it: Charlton to win 42%, the draw 27%, Bolton to win 31%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

3 November 2026, 19:45, at The Valley, London. Referee: Steve Martin.

Who will be missing?

Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, M. Godden. Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.76), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.13).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.61).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.7%), 2–1 (9.0%), 1–0 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Watford vs Lincoln 3 NovPreston vs Sheffield Utd 3 NovBlackburn vs Stoke City 3 NovDerby vs Norwich 3 NovQPR vs Burnley 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.