Bet with MINO CASINO →Blackburn and Stoke City meet on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Ewood Park (Blackburn), under referee Andrew Kitchen. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.72 |
| Market average | 2.62 | 3.29 | 2.66 |
| Lowest odds | 2.52 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| Megapari | 2.52 | 3.32 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.33 | 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.06 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.74 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.55 | 26.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.82 | 1.79 | 52.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 48.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Blackburn 1–1 Stoke City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Blackburn 13th (18 points), Stoke City 7th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Blackburn 5W 3D 5L (19:20), Stoke City 7W 2D 4L (20:16).
- H2H: 21 matches: Blackburn 6W 4D 11L, goals 23–26.
- Absences: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 5.
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Blackburn vs Stoke City: injuries, suspensions, absences
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Galbraithabsence · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Blackburn
Home and away
Blackburn vs Stoke City: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Blackburn: 13th, 18 points from 13 matches (5W 3D 5L). Stoke City: 7th, 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Blackburn 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded, Stoke City 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Blackburn: 5W 3D 5L, goals 19–20; Stoke City: 7W 2D 4L, goals 20–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Blackburn 6 wins, Stoke City 11 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 23–26.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Stoke City look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; Blackburn 6 wins, 4 draws, Stoke City 11 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Blackburn 19–20, Stoke City 20–16.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 5.
Alternative tip: Blackburn or draw (1X)
Other option: Blackburn or draw (1X) (probability 65%, odds up to 1.52). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita. Not available for Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, E. Galbraith, S. Gallagher. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BlackburnLWLWWStoke CityWDWLWBlackburn vs Stoke City: head to head
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Blackburn vs Stoke City: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
On the result, our pick is Blackburn or draw (1X) (1.52); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for Blackburn or draw (1X).
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
As we see it: Blackburn to win 36%, the draw 29%, Stoke City to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
3 November 2026, 19:45, at Ewood Park, Blackburn. Referee: Andrew Kitchen.
Who will be missing?
Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita. Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, E. Galbraith, S. Gallagher. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.12), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.82).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.8%), 0–1 (10.3%), 1–0 (10.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.