Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lincoln and Birmingham meet on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Sincil Bank (Lincoln), under referee Lewis Smith. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Lincoln vs Birmingham: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.47 | 3.51 | 2.20 |
| Market average | 3.28 | 3.38 | 2.14 |
| Lowest odds | 2.95 | 2.99 | 2.09 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.92 | 49.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.44 | 3.25 | 28.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.72 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 09:42. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lincoln 1–1 Birmingham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lincoln 16th (15 points), Birmingham 6th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Lincoln 4W 3D 5L (13:20), Birmingham 5W 5D 2L (20:12).
- H2H: 4 matches: Lincoln 0W 0D 4L, goals 3–9.
- Absences: Lincoln 3, Birmingham 3.
Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lincoln vs Birmingham: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lincoln vs Birmingham: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lincoln
- T. Darikwaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Meliathigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Wheatleynot in the squad · will miss the match
Birmingham
- M. LeonardAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Paik Seung-Hoabsence · will miss the match
- A. Priskeabsence · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lincoln vs Birmingham: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Lincoln
Home and away
Lincoln vs Birmingham: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lincoln: 16th, 15 points from 13 matches (4W 3D 6L). Birmingham: 6th, 23 points (6W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lincoln 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded, Birmingham 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lincoln: 4W 3D 5L, goals 13–20; Birmingham: 5W 5D 2L, goals 20–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Lincoln 0 wins, Birmingham 4 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 3–9.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Lincoln 0 wins, 0 draws, Birmingham 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lincoln 13–20, Birmingham 20–12.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: Lincoln 3, Birmingham 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lincoln: T. Darikwa, M. Melia, E. Wheatley. Not available for Birmingham: M. Leonard, Paik Seung-Ho, A. Priske. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lincoln vs Birmingham: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LincolnLWDLLBirminghamWLWWWLincoln vs Birmingham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lincoln vs Birmingham: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lincoln vs Birmingham?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Birmingham (X2) (1.35); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Birmingham (X2).
Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?
As we see it: Lincoln to win 29%, the draw 28%, Birmingham to win 44%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 12:30, at Sincil Bank, Lincoln. Referee: Lewis Smith.
Who will be missing?
Lincoln: T. Darikwa, M. Melia, E. Wheatley. Birmingham: M. Leonard, Paik Seung-Ho, A. Priske. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 2.01), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 0–1 (10.8%), 1–2 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.