Bet with MINO CASINO →QPR entertain Burnley on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Loftus Road (London), with Tom Reeves the man in the middle. QPR (47%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
QPR vs Burnley: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.06 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.00 | 3.64 | 3.47 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Megapari | 1.99 | 3.64 | 3.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.68 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.64 | 35.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.28 | 40.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: QPR 1–1 Burnley, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: QPR 9th (20 points), Burnley 22nd (9 points).
- Form in the competition: QPR 5W 5D 3L (21:16), Burnley 1W 6D 6L (17:25).
- H2H: 10 matches: QPR 2W 3D 5L, goals 8–17.
- Absences: QPR 4, Burnley 10.
Who will win QPR vs Burnley?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
QPR vs Burnley: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
QPR vs Burnley: injuries, suspensions, absences
QPR
- R. Burrellnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Lampteynot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Madseninjury · will miss the match
- A. S. Mbengueknee injury · will miss the match
Burnley
- Z. Amdouniankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Amosnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Beyerhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Bruun Larseninjury · will miss the match
- B. Humphreysmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Mejbrihamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Obafeminot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Sambonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Tresor Ndayishimiyenot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Brojainjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
QPR vs Burnley: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
QPR
Home and away
QPR vs Burnley: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. QPR: 9th, 20 points from 13 matches (5W 5D 3L). Burnley: 22nd, 9 points (1W 6D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: QPR 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, Burnley 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. QPR: 5W 5D 3L, goals 21–16; Burnley: 1W 6D 6L, goals 17–25.
- Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: QPR 2 wins, Burnley 5 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 8–17.
What to expect
We make QPR the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 10; QPR 2 wins, 3 draws, Burnley 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: QPR 21–16, Burnley 17–25.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: QPR 4, Burnley 10.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for QPR: R. Burrell, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue. Not available for Burnley: Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, A. Broja. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
QPR vs Burnley: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
QPRLWLWDBurnleyDLLDWQPR vs Burnley: head to head
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QPR vs Burnley: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for QPR vs Burnley?
On the result, our pick is QPR to win (2.06); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for QPR or draw (1X).
Who will win QPR vs Burnley?
As we see it: QPR to win 47%, the draw 26%, Burnley to win 27%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
3 November 2026, 19:45, at Loftus Road, London. Referee: Tom Reeves.
Who will be missing?
QPR: R. Burrell, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue. Burnley: Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, A. Broja. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.73), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 2–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.