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Championship · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 12:30

Millwall vs Lincoln tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, Championship

2–2
LWDLL
1Millwall1.78
XDraw3.90
2Lincoln5.75

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 10:01

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Millwall v Lincoln takes place on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at The Den (London); Ruebyn Ricardo will referee. We back Millwall (55%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Millwall vs Lincoln: tip and prediction
Result
Millwall to win
1.78
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.84
Combo
Millwall & over 2.5 goals
3.17
32% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Millwall or draw (1X) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.20.

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Millwall vs Lincoln: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.783.905.75
Market average1.703.704.83
Lowest odds1.573.504.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.3071.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.061.9648.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.841.8152.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.563.3028.2%
BTTS – yes1.851.8450.0%
BTTS – no1.861.8450.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 10:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Millwall 1–0 Lincoln, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Millwall 12th (18 points), Lincoln 16th (15 points).
  • Absences: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.

Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?

Millwall55%
Draw25%
Lincoln20%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Millwall vs Lincoln: more betting markets

Millwall or draw (1X)80.5% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.8% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.32
Likely
Over 1.5 goals71.2% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Millwall to win55.1% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.78
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.0% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.84
Possible
Both teams score: no50.0% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.86
Possible
Both teams score: yes50.0% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.85
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals48.0% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.06
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.2% · fair odds 3.55 · best 3.56
Outsider
Draw25.4% · fair odds 3.94 · best 3.90
Outsider
Lincoln to win19.5% · fair odds 5.12 · best 5.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.1%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.02 · Under 1.74
probability of over 46.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 012.9%
1 : 111.6%
2 : 010.6%
2 : 19.6%
0 : 07.8%
0 : 17.0%

Millwall vs Lincoln: injuries, suspensions, absences

Millwall

  • No reported absences

Lincoln

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Millwall vs Lincoln: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Millwall

31 OctWMillwall 4–1 Derby
24 OctLPortsmouth 2–1 Millwall
17 OctDMillwall 2–2 Lincoln
13 OctLMillwall 0–1 Swansea
10 OctWPreston 0–1 Millwall

Lincoln

31 OctLLincoln 1–3 Birmingham
24 OctWLincoln 4–1 Burnley
17 OctDMillwall 2–2 Lincoln
14 OctLLincoln 0–6 West Ham
10 OctLSheffield Utd 3–0 Lincoln

Home and away

Millwall at home7 matches: 3W 2D 2L, goals 15–9
Lincoln away6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 6–7

Millwall vs Lincoln: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Millwall: 12th, 18 points from 13 matches (5W 3D 5L). Lincoln: 16th, 15 points (4W 3D 6L).

What to expect

We make Millwall the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.9%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
  2. Not available: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 50%, odds up to 1.86). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Millwall: no absences. Not available for Lincoln: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Millwall vs Lincoln: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Millwall vs Lincoln?

On the result, our pick is Millwall to win (1.78); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.84). Prefer less risk? Go for Millwall or draw (1X).

Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?

As we see it: Millwall to win 55%, the draw 25%, Lincoln to win 20%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 12:30, at The Den, London. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.

Who will be missing?

Millwall: no absences. Lincoln: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.06), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.84).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.85).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–0 (12.9%), 1–1 (11.6%), 2–0 (10.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Watford vs Lincoln 3 NovPreston vs Sheffield Utd 3 NovBlackburn vs Stoke City 3 NovDerby vs Norwich 3 NovQPR vs Burnley 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.