Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Wolves entertain Watford on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton), with Robert Madley, England the man in the middle. Wolves (66%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Wolves vs Watford: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.47 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.63 | 6.76 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.61 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.28 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.65 | 2.51 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 52.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.95 | 47.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Wolves 2–0 Watford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Wolves 3rd (24 points), Watford 21st (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Wolves 5W 3D 3L (19:16), Watford 3W 2D 6L (10:19).
- H2H: 12 matches: Wolves 6W 2D 4L, goals 19–13.
- Absences: Wolves 5, Watford 5.
Who will win Wolves vs Watford?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Wolves vs Watford: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Wolves vs Watford: injuries, suspensions, absences
Wolves
- R. Gomesfoot injury · will miss the match
- R. Jimenezknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Traoreinjury · will miss the match
- B. Traoreinjury · will miss the match
- A. Armstrongback injury · doubtful
Watford
- K. Baahknock · will miss the match
- E. Boveknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ngakiathigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Akomeahabsence · doubtful
- M. Antonionot in the squad · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Wolves vs Watford: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Wolves
Home and away
Wolves vs Watford: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Wolves: 3rd, 24 points from 13 matches (7W 3D 3L). Watford: 21st, 11 points (3W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Wolves 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded, Watford 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Wolves: 5W 3D 3L, goals 19–16; Watford: 3W 2D 6L, goals 10–19.
- Head to head. Head to head over 12 meetings: Wolves 6 wins, Watford 4 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 19–13.
What to expect
We make Wolves the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 12; Wolves 6 wins, 2 draws, Watford 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Wolves 19–16, Watford 10–19.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: Wolves 5, Watford 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Wolves: R. Gomes, R. Jimenez, B. Traore, B. Traore, A. Armstrong. Not available for Watford: K. Baah, E. Bove, J. Ngakia, T. Akomeah, M. Antonio. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Wolves vs Watford: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
WolvesWWDWLWatfordLLWLLWolves vs Watford: head to head
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Wolves vs Watford: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Wolves vs Watford?
On the result, our pick is Wolves to win (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Wolves or draw (1X).
Who will win Wolves vs Watford?
As we see it: Wolves to win 66%, the draw 20%, Watford to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Referee: Robert Madley, England.
Who will be missing?
Wolves: R. Gomes, R. Jimenez, B. Traore, B. Traore, A. Armstrong. Watford: K. Baah, E. Bove, J. Ngakia, T. Akomeah, M. Antonio. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.67), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.9%), 1–0 (10.2%), 2–1 (9.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.