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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8 · 25 October 2026 · 16:15

Rennes vs Strasbourg tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Ligue 1

LWLWL
3–0
1Rennes1.83
XDraw4.50
2Strasbourg4.22

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 13:00

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rennes and Strasbourg meet on 25 October 2026 · 16:15 at Roazhon Park (Rennes), under referee Ruddy Buquet. Rennes (54%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Rennes vs Strasbourg: tip and prediction
Result
Rennes to win
1.83
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.46
Combo
Rennes & over 2.5 goals
2.51
40% · fair combo odds
54%chance of the result
66%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Rennes or draw (1X) – probability 76%, odds up to 1.29.

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Rennes vs Strasbourg: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.834.504.22
Market average1.784.254.02
Lowest odds1.753.903.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1184.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.461.4366.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.882.7734.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.162.1045.5%
BTTS – yes1.451.4265.2%
BTTS – no2.802.6734.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Rennes 2–1 Strasbourg, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Rennes 5th (16 points), Strasbourg 12th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Rennes 4W 1D 2L (15:14), Strasbourg 2W 1D 4L (12:15).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Rennes 11W 2D 5L, goals 31–18.
  • Absences: Rennes 1, Strasbourg 4.

Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?

Rennes54%
Draw23%
Strasbourg24%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Rennes vs Strasbourg: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals84.3% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.14
Likely
Rennes or draw (1X)76.2% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 2.5 goals66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.46
Likely
Both teams score: yes65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.45
Likely
Under 3.5 goals54.5% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.83
Possible
Rennes to win53.7% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.16
Outsider
Both teams score: no34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.80
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.0% · fair odds 2.94 · best 2.88
Outsider
Strasbourg to win23.8% · fair odds 4.20 · best 4.22
Outsider
Draw22.5% · fair odds 4.44 · best 4.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.76 · Under 2.01
probability of over 53.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.73 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.1%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.5%
1 : 19.2%
2 : 07.0%
1 : 06.8%
3 : 16.5%
2 : 26.4%

Rennes vs Strasbourg: injuries, suspensions, absences

Rennes

  • E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match

Strasbourg

  • F. Baldeabsence · will miss the match
  • I. Doukourenot in the squad · will miss the match
  • S. Nanasiinjury · will miss the match
  • J. Panichelliknee injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Rennes vs Strasbourg: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Rennes

30 OctLNice 5–2 Rennes
25 OctWRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLParis FC 4–3 Rennes
15 OctWRennes 2–1 OFI

Strasbourg

1 NovWStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctLRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
17 OctLStrasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
11 OctLNice 2–1 Strasbourg
19 SeptLParis FC 2–1 Strasbourg

Home and away

Rennes at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 13–5
Strasbourg away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 8–13

Rennes vs Strasbourg: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Rennes: 5th, 16 points from 9 matches (5W 1D 3L). Strasbourg: 12th, 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Rennes 2.1 scored and 2.0 conceded, Strasbourg 1.7 scored and 2.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Rennes: 4W 1D 2L, goals 15–14; Strasbourg: 2W 1D 4L, goals 12–15.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Rennes 11 wins, Strasbourg 5 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 31–18.

What to expect

We make Rennes the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.46), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 66%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 18; Rennes 11 wins, 2 draws, Strasbourg 5 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Rennes 15–14, Strasbourg 12–15.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 66%.
  5. Not available: Rennes 1, Strasbourg 4.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Rennes: E. Lepaul. Not available for Strasbourg: F. Balde, I. Doukoure, S. Nanasi, J. Panichelli. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Rennes vs Strasbourg: the numbers side by side

RennesStrasbourg
69%Form31%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
60%Head to head40%
60%Goals40%
59.5%Overall40.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

RennesLWLWL
StrasbourgWLLLL

Rennes vs Strasbourg: head to head

All matches
11Rennes
2Draws
5Strasbourg
25/10/26 · Rennes 3–0 Strasbourg
19/4/26 · Strasbourg 0–3 Rennes
2/11/25 · Rennes 4–1 Strasbourg
2/2/25 · Rennes 1–0 Strasbourg
25/8/24 · Strasbourg 3–1 Rennes
31/3/24 · Strasbourg 2–0 Rennes

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.6%

Rennes vs Strasbourg: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Rennes vs Strasbourg?

On the result, our pick is Rennes to win (1.83); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.46). Prefer less risk? Go for Rennes or draw (1X).

Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?

As we see it: Rennes to win 54%, the draw 23%, Strasbourg to win 24%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 16:15, at Roazhon Park, Rennes. Referee: Ruddy Buquet.

Who will be missing?

Rennes: E. Lepaul. Strasbourg: F. Balde, I. Doukoure, S. Nanasi, J. Panichelli. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 66% chance (odds 1.46), against 34% for under 2.5 (odds 2.88).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.45).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.5%), 1–1 (9.2%), 2–0 (7.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.