Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sporting CP v Lask Linz takes place on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon); Nick Walsh will referee. We back Sporting CP (71%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.37 | 6.00 | 8.76 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.61 | 8.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.32 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.59 | 3.41 | 27.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.80 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sporting CP 12th (6 points), Lask Linz 24th (3 points).
- H2H: 4 matches: Sporting CP 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–11.
- Absences: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Lask Linz
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 30 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Sporting CP
Home and away
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sporting CP: 12th, 6 points from 3 matches (2W 0D 1L). Lask Linz: 24th, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Sporting CP 1 win, Lask Linz 3 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 5–11.
What to expect
We make Sporting CP the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Sporting CP 1 win, 0 draws, Lask Linz 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Not available: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sporting CP: no absences. Not available for Lask Linz: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: head to head
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Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
On the result, our pick is Sporting CP to win (1.37); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Sporting CP or draw (1X).
Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
As we see it: Sporting CP to win 71%, the draw 17%, Lask Linz to win 12%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 October 2026, 20:00, at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: Nick Walsh.
Who will be missing?
Sporting CP: no absences. Lask Linz: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.33), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.59).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.1%), 2–0 (8.7%), 3–1 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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