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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 21 October 2026 · 20:00

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz tip, odds and prediction, 21 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

1Sporting CP1.37
XDraw6.00
2Lask Linz8.76

Top odds available · Updated 21/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sporting CP v Lask Linz takes place on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon); Nick Walsh will referee. We back Sporting CP (71%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: tip and prediction
Result
Sporting CP to win
1.37
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
Combo
Sporting CP & over 2.5 goals
1.78
56% · fair combo odds
71%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sporting CP or draw (1X) – probability 88%, odds up to 1.10.

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Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.376.008.76
Market average1.345.618.12
Lowest odds1.325.007.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.081.0588.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.331.2972.5%
Under 2.5 goals3.593.4127.5%
Over 3.5 goals1.861.8053.0%
BTTS – yes1.671.5360.7%
BTTS – no2.452.3739.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.8%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Sporting CP 12th (6 points), Lask Linz 24th (3 points).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Sporting CP 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–11.
  • Absences: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Sporting CP71%
Draw17%
Lask Linz12%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: more betting markets

Sporting CP or draw (1X)88.2% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals88.0% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.08
Likely
Over 2.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Sporting CP to win71.2% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.37
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.7% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.67
Likely
Over 3.5 goals53.0% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 3.5 goals47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.3% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.59
Outsider
Draw17.1% · fair odds 5.86 · best 6.00
Outsider
Lask Linz to win11.8% · fair odds 8.49 · best 8.76
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.03
probability of over 54.1%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.79 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.2%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.1%
2 : 08.7%
3 : 18.1%
3 : 07.7%
1 : 16.9%
1 : 06.6%

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: injuries, suspensions, absences

Sporting CP

  • No reported absences

Lask Linz

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Sporting CP

30 OctWCasa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP
25 OctLSporting CP 1–2 Académico Viseu
21 OctLSporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
13 OctWLens 0–2 Sporting CP
9 OctWSC Braga 1–3 Sporting CP

Lask Linz

21 OctWSporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
14 OctLLask Linz 3–6 Liverpool
8 SeptLAEK Athens FC 1–0 Lask Linz
25 AugWLask Linz 5–1 Celtic
19 AugLCeltic 3–0 Lask Linz

Home and away

Sporting CP at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 5–4
Lask Linz away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–3

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Sporting CP: 12th, 6 points from 3 matches (2W 0D 1L). Lask Linz: 24th, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Sporting CP 1 win, Lask Linz 3 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 5–11.

What to expect

We make Sporting CP the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 4; Sporting CP 1 win, 0 draws, Lask Linz 3 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
  4. Not available: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Sporting CP: no absences. Not available for Lask Linz: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: head to head

All matches
1Sporting CP
0Draws
3Lask Linz
21/10/26 · Sporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
1/10/20 · Sporting CP 1–4 Lask Linz
12/12/19 · Lask Linz 3–0 Sporting CP
3/10/19 · Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

On the result, our pick is Sporting CP to win (1.37); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Sporting CP or draw (1X).

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

As we see it: Sporting CP to win 71%, the draw 17%, Lask Linz to win 12%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 October 2026, 20:00, at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: Nick Walsh.

Who will be missing?

Sporting CP: no absences. Lask Linz: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.33), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.59).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.1%), 2–0 (8.7%), 3–1 (8.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP 3 NovGalatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart 3 NovManchester United vs AS Roma 3 NovFeyenoord vs Inter 3 NovBodø/Glimt vs Lille 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.