Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Casa Pia entertain Sporting CP on 30 October 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Mayor), with Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca the man in the middle. Sporting CP (74%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 11.10 | 6.36 | 1.32 |
| Market average | 9.92 | 5.79 | 1.27 |
| Lowest odds | 7.24 | 4.84 | 1.22 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.48 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.29 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.83 | 51.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Casa Pia 17th (7 points), Sporting CP 3rd (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Casa Pia 2W 1D 6L (5:17), Sporting CP 5W 3D 1L (21:11).
- H2H: 10 matches: Casa Pia 0W 0D 10L, goals 7–31.
- Absences: Casa Pia 0, Sporting CP 0.
Who will win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: injuries, suspensions, absences
Casa Pia
- No reported absences
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Casa Pia
Home and away
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Casa Pia: 17th, 7 points from 10 matches (2W 1D 7L). Sporting CP: 3rd, 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Casa Pia 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded, Sporting CP 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Casa Pia: 2W 1D 6L, goals 5–17; Sporting CP: 5W 3D 1L, goals 21–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Casa Pia 0 wins, Sporting CP 10 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 7–31.
What to expect
We make Sporting CP the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (12.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 10; Casa Pia 0 wins, 0 draws, Sporting CP 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Casa Pia 5–17, Sporting CP 21–11.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Casa Pia 0, Sporting CP 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Casa Pia: no absences. Not available for Sporting CP: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Casa PiaLWLWLSporting CPWLWDDCasa Pia vs Sporting CP: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
On the result, our pick is Sporting CP to win (1.32); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Sporting CP (X2).
Who will win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
As we see it: Casa Pia to win 10%, the draw 16%, Sporting CP to win 74%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 20:15, at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Mayor. Referee: Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca.
Who will be missing?
Casa Pia: no absences. Sporting CP: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.55), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (12.2%), 0–3 (10.0%), 0–1 (10.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.