Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Southampton and QPR meet on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton), under referee Tim Robinson. Southampton (49%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Southampton vs QPR: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.00 | 3.95 | 3.79 |
| Market average | 1.91 | 3.74 | 3.63 |
| Lowest odds | 1.78 | 3.40 | 3.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.31 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.44 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.52 | 1.50 | 61.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Southampton 1–1 QPR, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Southampton 5th (23 points), QPR 9th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Southampton 7W 3D 2L (24:12), QPR 5W 5D 2L (20:12).
- H2H: 9 matches: Southampton 8W 0D 1L, goals 21–7.
- Absences: Southampton 2, QPR 5.
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Southampton vs QPR: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Southampton vs QPR: injuries, suspensions, absences
Southampton
- F. Downesankle injury · doubtful
- C. Larinhamstring injury · doubtful
QPR
- R. Burrellnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Lampteynot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Madseninjury · will miss the match
- A. S. Mbengueknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Clarke-Salterinjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Southampton vs QPR: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Southampton
Home and away
Southampton vs QPR: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Southampton: 5th, 23 points from 13 matches (8W 3D 2L). QPR: 9th, 20 points (5W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Southampton 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, QPR 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Southampton: 7W 3D 2L, goals 24–12; QPR: 5W 5D 2L, goals 20–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Southampton 8 wins, QPR 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 21–7.
What to expect
We make Southampton the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.52), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Southampton 8 wins, 0 draws, QPR 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Southampton 24–12, QPR 20–12.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Southampton 2, QPR 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.52). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Southampton: F. Downes, C. Larin. Not available for QPR: R. Burrell, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, J. Clarke-Salter. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Southampton vs QPR: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SouthamptonWWDWWQPRLWLWDSouthampton vs QPR: head to head
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Southampton vs QPR: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Southampton vs QPR?
On the result, our pick is Southampton to win (2.00); on goals, Both teams to score (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Southampton or draw (1X).
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
As we see it: Southampton to win 49%, the draw 25%, QPR to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton. Referee: Tim Robinson.
Who will be missing?
Southampton: F. Downes, C. Larin. QPR: R. Burrell, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, J. Clarke-Salter. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.62), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.52).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.7%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (8.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.