Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Burnley v Portsmouth takes place on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Turf Moor (Burnley); Ruebyn Ricardo will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.27 | 3.42 | 3.37 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.30 | 3.19 |
| Lowest odds | 2.08 | 2.99 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.31 | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.81 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.55 | 3.41 | 27.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.96 | 47.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Burnley 1–1 Portsmouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Burnley 22nd (9 points), Portsmouth 11th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Burnley 1W 5D 6L (17:25), Portsmouth 5W 3D 4L (16:15).
- H2H: 5 matches: Burnley 2W 2D 1L, goals 7–3.
- Absences: Burnley 16, Portsmouth 9.
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Burnley vs Portsmouth: injuries, suspensions, absences
Burnley
- A. Ahmedhodzicknock · will miss the match
- Z. Amdouniankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Amosnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Beyerhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Bruun Larseninjury · will miss the match
- B. Humphreysmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Mejbrihamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Obafeminot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Ramseyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Sambonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Tresor Ndayishimiyenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Banelabsence · doubtful
- A. Brojainjury · doubtful
- J. Cullenabsence · doubtful
- J. Vardyinjury · doubtful
- K. Walkernot in the squad · doubtful
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · doubtful
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burnley
Home and away
Burnley vs Portsmouth: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Burnley: 22nd, 9 points from 13 matches (1W 6D 6L). Portsmouth: 11th, 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Burnley 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded, Portsmouth 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Burnley: 1W 5D 6L, goals 17–25; Portsmouth: 5W 3D 4L, goals 16–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Burnley 2 wins, Portsmouth 1 win, plus 2 draws; goals 7–3.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.6%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Portsmouth look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 5; Burnley 2 wins, 2 draws, Portsmouth 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Burnley 17–25, Portsmouth 16–15.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Not available: Burnley 16, Portsmouth 9.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Burnley: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Banel, A. Broja, J. Cullen, J. Vardy, K. Walker. Not available for Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift, J. Murphy, C. Shaughnessy. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BurnleyDLLDWPortsmouthDWDWWBurnley vs Portsmouth: head to head
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Burnley vs Portsmouth: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
On the result, our pick is Burnley or draw (1X) (1.38); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Burnley or draw (1X).
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
As we see it: Burnley to win 42%, the draw 28%, Portsmouth to win 29%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at Turf Moor, Burnley. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Who will be missing?
Burnley: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Banel, A. Broja, J. Cullen, J. Vardy, K. Walker. Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift, J. Murphy, C. Shaughnessy. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.07), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.6%), 1–0 (10.9%), 0–1 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.