Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Burnley entertain Wolves on 16 October 2026 · 20:00 at Turf Moor (Burnley), with Lewis Smith, England the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Burnley vs Wolves: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.07 | 3.60 | 2.35 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 3.51 | 2.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.76 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.03 | 46.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.81 | 33.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.21 | 42.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 16/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Burnley 1–1 Wolves, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Burnley 22nd (9 points), Wolves 3rd (24 points).
- Absences: Burnley 0, Wolves 0.
Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Burnley vs Wolves: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Burnley vs Wolves: injuries, suspensions, absences
Burnley
- No reported absences
Wolves
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Burnley vs Wolves: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burnley
Home and away
Burnley vs Wolves: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Burnley: 22nd, 9 points from 13 matches (1W 6D 6L). Wolves: 3rd, 24 points (7W 3D 3L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Not available: Burnley 0, Wolves 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Burnley: no absences. Not available for Wolves: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Burnley vs Wolves: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Burnley vs Wolves?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Wolves (X2) (1.36); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Wolves (X2).
Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?
As we see it: Burnley to win 32%, the draw 27%, Wolves to win 42%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
16 October 2026, 20:00, at Turf Moor, Burnley. Referee: Lewis Smith, England.
Who will be missing?
Burnley: no absences. Wolves: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.85), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 0–1 (9.1%), 1–2 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.