Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
QPR v Swansea takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Loftus Road (London); Sam Allison, England will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
QPR vs Swansea: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.50 | 3.49 | 3.03 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.34 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.79 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.87 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.23 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: QPR 1–1 Swansea, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: QPR 9th (20 points), Swansea 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: QPR 4W 5D 2L (15:12), Swansea 7W 2D 2L (16:8).
- H2H: 24 matches: QPR 8W 6D 10L, goals 29–32.
- Absences: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
QPR vs Swansea: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
QPR vs Swansea: injuries, suspensions, absences
QPR
- R. Burrellnot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Chairmuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lampteynot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Madseninjury · will miss the match
- A. S. Mbengueknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Dembeleabsence · doubtful
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Keymuscle injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
QPR vs Swansea: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
QPR
Home and away
QPR vs Swansea: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. QPR: 9th, 20 points from 13 matches (5W 5D 3L). Swansea: 2nd, 26 points (8W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: QPR 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded, Swansea 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. QPR: 4W 5D 2L, goals 15–12; Swansea: 7W 2D 2L, goals 16–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: QPR 8 wins, Swansea 10 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 29–32.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Swansea look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; QPR 8 wins, 6 draws, Swansea 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: QPR 15–12, Swansea 16–8.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for QPR: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Not available for Swansea: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
QPR vs Swansea: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
QPRLWLWDSwanseaWLLWWQPR vs Swansea: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
QPR vs Swansea: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for QPR vs Swansea?
On the result, our pick is QPR or draw (1X) (1.45); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for QPR or draw (1X).
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
As we see it: QPR to win 39%, the draw 28%, Swansea to win 33%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at Loftus Road, London. Referee: Sam Allison, England.
Who will be missing?
QPR: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Swansea: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.96), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (9.9%), 0–1 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.