Bet with MINO CASINO →Portsmouth entertain Swansea on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Fratton Park (Portsmouth), with Matthew Corlett the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Portsmouth vs Swansea: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Market average | 2.63 | 3.31 | 2.63 |
| Lowest odds | 2.58 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Megapari | 2.58 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.30 | 71.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.99 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.38 | 27.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.99 | 46.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Portsmouth 1–1 Swansea, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Portsmouth 11th (19 points), Swansea 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Portsmouth 5W 4D 4L (16:15), Swansea 8W 2D 3L (20:13).
- H2H: 4 matches: Portsmouth 1W 1D 2L, goals 7–5.
- Absences: Portsmouth 6, Swansea 3.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Swansea?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Portsmouth vs Swansea: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Portsmouth vs Swansea: injuries, suspensions, absences
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. K. Yeoinjury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Swansea: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Portsmouth
Home and away
Portsmouth vs Swansea: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Portsmouth: 11th, 19 points from 13 matches (5W 4D 4L). Swansea: 2nd, 26 points (8W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Portsmouth 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, Swansea 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Portsmouth: 5W 4D 4L, goals 16–15; Swansea: 8W 2D 3L, goals 20–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Portsmouth 1 win, Swansea 2 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 7–5.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.6%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.78), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Portsmouth 1 win, 1 draw, Swansea 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Portsmouth 16–15, Swansea 20–13.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Not available: Portsmouth 6, Swansea 3.
Alternative tip: Draw or Swansea (X2)
Other option: Draw or Swansea (X2) (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift. Not available for Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Swansea: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
PortsmouthDWDWWSwanseaWLLWWPortsmouth vs Swansea: head to head
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Portsmouth vs Swansea: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Portsmouth vs Swansea?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Swansea (X2) (1.50); on goals, Both teams to score (1.78). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Swansea (X2).
Who will win Portsmouth vs Swansea?
As we see it: Portsmouth to win 36%, the draw 28%, Swansea to win 36%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
3 November 2026, 19:45, at Fratton Park, Portsmouth. Referee: Matthew Corlett.
Who will be missing?
Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift. Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.05), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.78).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.6%), 0–1 (9.7%), 1–0 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.