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Championship · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 15:00

Norwich vs Portsmouth tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, Championship

WWLLL
0–1
1Norwich1.88
XDraw3.80
2Portsmouth4.30

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Norwich and Portsmouth meet on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Carrow Road (Norwich), under referee Gavin Ward, England. Norwich (51%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Norwich vs Portsmouth: tip and prediction
Result
Norwich to win
1.88
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
Combo
Norwich & over 2.5 goals
2.98
34% · fair combo odds
51%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Norwich or draw (1X) – probability 77%, odds up to 1.25.

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Norwich vs Portsmouth: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.883.804.30
Market average1.833.704.03
Lowest odds1.803.503.88
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2176.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7254.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.0745.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7333.9%
BTTS – yes1.671.6556.2%
BTTS – no2.152.1243.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Norwich 15th (15 points), Portsmouth 11th (19 points).
  • Absences: Norwich 0, Portsmouth 0.

Who will win Norwich vs Portsmouth?

Norwich51%
Draw25%
Portsmouth23%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Norwich vs Portsmouth: more betting markets

Norwich or draw (1X)76.7% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.5% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.24
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.2% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.76
Possible
Norwich to win51.4% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.88
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.15
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.8% · fair odds 2.28 · best 2.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw25.4% · fair odds 3.94 · best 3.80
Outsider
Portsmouth to win23.3% · fair odds 4.30 · best 4.30
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.73 · Under 2.05
probability of over 54.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.1%
1 : 010.1%
2 : 19.7%
2 : 08.9%
0 : 16.4%
1 : 26.1%

Norwich vs Portsmouth: injuries, suspensions, absences

Norwich

  • No reported absences

Portsmouth

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Norwich vs Portsmouth: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Norwich

31 OctWNorwich 3–2 Watford
24 OctWCharlton 1–3 Norwich
17 OctLNorwich 0–1 Portsmouth
14 OctLNorwich 0–1 Southampton
10 OctLSwansea 2–1 Norwich

Portsmouth

31 OctDBurnley 0–0 Portsmouth
24 OctWPortsmouth 2–1 Millwall
20 OctDWolves 1–1 Portsmouth
17 OctWNorwich 0–1 Portsmouth
14 OctWPortsmouth 3–2 Sheffield Utd

Home and away

Norwich at home7 matches: 3W 0D 4L, goals 13–12
Portsmouth away7 matches: 2W 3D 2L, goals 6–5

Norwich vs Portsmouth: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Norwich: 15th, 15 points from 13 matches (5W 0D 8L). Portsmouth: 11th, 19 points (5W 4D 4L).

What to expect

We make Norwich the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Portsmouth look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  2. Not available: Norwich 0, Portsmouth 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Norwich: no absences. Not available for Portsmouth: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Norwich vs Portsmouth: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Norwich vs Portsmouth?

On the result, our pick is Norwich to win (1.88); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Norwich or draw (1X).

Who will win Norwich vs Portsmouth?

As we see it: Norwich to win 51%, the draw 25%, Portsmouth to win 23%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 15:00, at Carrow Road, Norwich. Referee: Gavin Ward, England.

Who will be missing?

Norwich: no absences. Portsmouth: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.76), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.15).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 1–0 (10.1%), 2–1 (9.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.