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Championship · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 15:00

Swansea vs West Ham tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, Championship

WLLWW
0–1
1Swansea3.54
XDraw3.76
2West Ham2.20

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Swansea v West Ham takes place on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea); Josh Smith, England will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Swansea vs West Ham: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or West Ham (X2)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
71%chance of the result
58%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Swansea vs West Ham: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.543.762.20
Market average3.243.602.09
Lowest odds2.903.502.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2176.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7354.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.142.0645.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.872.7533.7%
BTTS – yes1.621.6057.9%
BTTS – no2.252.2042.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Swansea 1–1 West Ham, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Swansea 2nd (26 points), West Ham 8th (22 points).
  • Absences: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.

Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?

Swansea29%
Draw26%
West Ham45%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Swansea vs West Ham: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals76.6% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.24
Likely
Draw or West Ham (X2)70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.14
Outsider
West Ham to win44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.20
Outsider
Both teams score: no42.1% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.7% · fair odds 2.97 · best 2.87
Outsider
Swansea to win29.1% · fair odds 3.44 · best 3.54
Outsider
Draw26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.76
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.75 · Under 2.00
probability of over 53.4%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.60 · Under 2.26
probability of over 58.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
1 : 29.3%
0 : 19.3%
0 : 27.4%
2 : 17.2%
1 : 07.2%

Swansea vs West Ham: injuries, suspensions, absences

Swansea

  • No reported absences

West Ham

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Swansea vs West Ham: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Swansea

31 OctWSwansea 4–0 Blackburn
24 OctLQPR 5–0 Swansea
17 OctLSwansea 0–1 West Ham
13 OctWMillwall 0–1 Swansea
10 OctWSwansea 2–1 Norwich

West Ham

31 OctLWest Ham 1–3 West Brom
24 OctLWest Ham 2–3 Southampton
17 OctWSwansea 0–1 West Ham
14 OctWLincoln 0–6 West Ham
9 OctDWest Ham 1–1 QPR

Home and away

Swansea at home7 matches: 4W 2D 1L, goals 11–3
West Ham away6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 15–7

Swansea vs West Ham: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Swansea: 2nd, 26 points from 13 matches (8W 2D 3L). West Ham: 8th, 22 points (6W 4D 3L).

What to expect

We make West Ham the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Swansea look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the away side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
  2. Not available: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Swansea: no absences. Not available for West Ham: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Swansea vs West Ham: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Swansea vs West Ham?

On the result, our pick is Draw or West Ham (X2) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or West Ham (X2).

Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?

As we see it: Swansea to win 29%, the draw 26%, West Ham to win 45%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 15:00, at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Josh Smith, England.

Who will be missing?

Swansea: no absences. West Ham: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.76), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.14).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.6%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (9.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Watford vs Lincoln 3 NovPreston vs Sheffield Utd 3 NovBlackburn vs Stoke City 3 NovDerby vs Norwich 3 NovQPR vs Burnley 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.