Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Portsmouth and Millwall meet on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Fratton Park (Portsmouth), under referee Tom Reeves, England. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.50 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.27 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.96 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.48 | 3.32 | 28.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 10:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Portsmouth 1–1 Millwall, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Portsmouth 11th (19 points), Millwall 12th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Portsmouth 4W 3D 4L (14:14), Millwall 4W 3D 4L (18:18).
- H2H: 9 matches: Portsmouth 3W 0D 6L, goals 10–11.
- Absences: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Portsmouth vs Millwall: injuries, suspensions, absences
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Umehhamstring injury · will miss the match
Millwall
- J. Coburnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. De Norremuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Jensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Luongoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Marschallinjury · will miss the match
- M. Servaisnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Arconteankle injury · doubtful
- M. Ivanovichamstring injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Portsmouth
Home and away
Portsmouth vs Millwall: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Portsmouth: 11th, 19 points from 13 matches (5W 4D 4L). Millwall: 12th, 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Portsmouth 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded, Millwall 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Portsmouth: 4W 3D 4L, goals 14–14; Millwall: 4W 3D 4L, goals 18–18.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Portsmouth 3 wins, Millwall 6 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 10–11.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Portsmouth 3 wins, 0 draws, Millwall 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Portsmouth 14–14, Millwall 18–18.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Not available: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Not available for Millwall: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
PortsmouthDWDWWMillwallWLDLWPortsmouth vs Millwall: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Portsmouth vs Millwall: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Portsmouth vs Millwall?
On the result, our pick is Portsmouth or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Portsmouth or draw (1X).
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
As we see it: Portsmouth to win 38%, the draw 29%, Millwall to win 33%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 12:30, at Fratton Park, Portsmouth. Referee: Tom Reeves, England.
Who will be missing?
Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Millwall: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.02), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (10.0%), 0–1 (9.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.