Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Swansea entertain Blackburn on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea), with Gavin Ward the man in the middle. Swansea (54%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Swansea vs Blackburn: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.81 | 3.90 | 4.85 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.71 | 4.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.16 | 3.74 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.25 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.95 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.29 | 3.04 | 30.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Swansea 1–1 Blackburn, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 2nd (26 points), Blackburn 13th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Swansea 7W 2D 3L (16:13), Blackburn 5W 3D 4L (19:16).
- H2H: 20 matches: Swansea 10W 4D 6L, goals 34–24.
- Absences: Swansea 3, Blackburn 5.
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Swansea vs Blackburn: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Swansea vs Blackburn: injuries, suspensions, absences
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. K. Yeoinjury · will miss the match
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- S. Morsyabsence · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Swansea vs Blackburn: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Swansea
Home and away
Swansea vs Blackburn: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Swansea: 2nd, 26 points from 13 matches (8W 2D 3L). Blackburn: 13th, 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Swansea 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded, Blackburn 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Swansea: 7W 2D 3L, goals 16–13; Blackburn: 5W 3D 4L, goals 19–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 20 meetings: Swansea 10 wins, Blackburn 6 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 34–24.
What to expect
We make Swansea the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.78), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 20; Swansea 10 wins, 4 draws, Blackburn 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Swansea 16–13, Blackburn 19–16.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Not available: Swansea 3, Blackburn 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.78). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Not available for Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, R. Morishita. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Swansea vs Blackburn: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SwanseaWLLWWBlackburnLWLWWSwansea vs Blackburn: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Swansea vs Blackburn: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Swansea vs Blackburn?
On the result, our pick is Swansea to win (1.81); on goals, Both teams to score (1.78). Prefer less risk? Go for Swansea or draw (1X).
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
As we see it: Swansea to win 54%, the draw 25%, Blackburn to win 21%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Gavin Ward.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, R. Morishita. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.91), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.78).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 1–0 (11.4%), 2–1 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.