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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 16:15

Paris FC vs Rennes tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Ligue 1

4–3
LWLWL
1Paris FC2.26
XDraw3.70
2Rennes3.45

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 13:01

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Paris FC and Rennes meet on 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Jean Bouin (Paris), under referee B. Dechepy. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Paris FC vs Rennes: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Paris FC or draw (1X)
1.36
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
71%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Paris FC vs Rennes: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.263.703.45
Market average2.173.523.33
Lowest odds2.103.303.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1878.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.731.6657.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.312.2142.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.5737.0%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.4%
BTTS – no2.402.3539.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 13:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Paris FC 1–1 Rennes, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Paris FC 4th (17 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
  • Absences: Paris FC 0, Rennes 0.

Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?

Paris FC44%
Draw27%
Rennes29%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Paris FC vs Rennes: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.20
Likely
Paris FC or draw (1X)71.3% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.0% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.53
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.4% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.1% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.73
Possible
Paris FC to win44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.26
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.9% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.31
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.6% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.0% · fair odds 2.71 · best 2.62
Outsider
Rennes to win28.7% · fair odds 3.48 · best 3.45
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.94
probability of over 51.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.22 · Under 1.63
probability of over 42.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.2%
2 : 19.3%
1 : 08.6%
1 : 27.3%
2 : 07.1%
0 : 16.8%

Paris FC vs Rennes: injuries, suspensions, absences

Paris FC

  • No reported absences

Rennes

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Paris FC vs Rennes: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Paris FC

1 NovWParis FC 3–1 Monaco
24 OctLLens 2–1 Paris FC
18 OctWParis FC 4–3 Rennes
10 OctLLorient 1–0 Paris FC
19 SeptWParis FC 2–1 Strasbourg

Rennes

30 OctLNice 5–2 Rennes
25 OctWRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLParis FC 4–3 Rennes
15 OctWRennes 2–1 OFI

Home and away

Paris FC at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 12–5
Rennes away4 matches: 1W 0D 3L, goals 7–14

Paris FC vs Rennes: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Paris FC: 4th, 17 points from 9 matches (5W 2D 2L). Rennes: 5th, 16 points (5W 1D 3L).

What to expect

We make Paris FC the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
  2. Not available: Paris FC 0, Rennes 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Paris FC: no absences. Not available for Rennes: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.6%

Paris FC vs Rennes: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Paris FC vs Rennes?

On the result, our pick is Paris FC or draw (1X) (1.36); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Paris FC or draw (1X).

Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?

As we see it: Paris FC to win 44%, the draw 27%, Rennes to win 29%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 16:15, at Stade Jean Bouin, Paris. Referee: B. Dechepy.

Who will be missing?

Paris FC: no absences. Rennes: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.73), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.31).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 2–1 (9.3%), 1–0 (8.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.