Bet with MINO CASINO →NEC Nijmegen v PSV Eindhoven takes place on 21 November 2026 · 15:30 at Goffertstadion (Nijmegen). We back PSV Eindhoven (62%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.26 | 4.96 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 5.03 | 4.77 | 1.52 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 4.50 | 1.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.43 | 27.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.75 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.89 | 2.84 | 32.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:16. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: NEC Nijmegen 13th (11 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
- Absences: NEC Nijmegen 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: injuries, suspensions, absences
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
NEC Nijmegen
Home and away
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. NEC Nijmegen: 13th, 11 points from 11 matches (2W 5D 4L). PSV Eindhoven: 3rd, 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
What to expect
We make PSV Eindhoven the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.78), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 67% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Not available: NEC Nijmegen 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, odds up to 2.10). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Not available for PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
On the result, our pick is PSV Eindhoven to win (1.54); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.78). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or PSV Eindhoven (X2).
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
As we see it: NEC Nijmegen to win 19%, the draw 20%, PSV Eindhoven to win 62%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 November 2026, 15:30, at Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.
Who will be missing?
NEC Nijmegen: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.31), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 67% (odds 1.40).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.2%), 1–3 (7.5%), 1–1 (7.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.