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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen tip, odds and prediction, 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Dinamo Zagreb1.55
XDraw4.70
2NEC Nijmegen5.90

Top odds available · Updated 22/10/26, 16:29

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Dinamo Zagreb entertain NEC Nijmegen on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb), with Manfredas Lukjančukas the man in the middle. Dinamo Zagreb (62%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: tip and prediction
Result
Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.55
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.59
Combo
Dinamo Zagreb & over 2.5 goals
2.32
43% · fair combo odds
62%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X) – probability 83%, odds up to 1.17.

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Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.554.705.90
Market average1.534.445.56
Lowest odds1.503.764.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1581.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.591.5361.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.622.4538.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.472.3240.9%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.4%
BTTS – no2.252.1942.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 16:29. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 NEC Nijmegen, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Dinamo Zagreb 18th (4 points), NEC Nijmegen 20th (4 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Dinamo Zagreb 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
  • Absences: Dinamo Zagreb 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.

Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

Dinamo Zagreb62%
Draw21%
NEC Nijmegen17%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: more betting markets

Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X)83.0% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals81.5% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.19
Likely
Dinamo Zagreb to win61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.59
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: yes57.4% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: no42.6% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.47
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw21.3% · fair odds 4.70 · best 4.70
Outsider
NEC Nijmegen to win17.0% · fair odds 5.87 · best 5.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.7%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.80 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.0%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
2 : 09.4%
1 : 09.0%
3 : 16.9%
3 : 06.6%

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: injuries, suspensions, absences

Dinamo Zagreb

  • No reported absences

NEC Nijmegen

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Dinamo Zagreb

22 OctLDinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen
15 OctWDinamo Zagreb 1–0 Anderlecht
16 SeptDHapoel Beer Sheva 0–0 Dinamo Zagreb

NEC Nijmegen

31 OctLHeerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
25 OctDNEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
22 OctWDinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen
18 OctDNEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
15 OctDNEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia

Home and away

Dinamo Zagreb at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–4
NEC Nijmegen away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–7

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Dinamo Zagreb: 18th, 4 points from 3 matches (1W 1D 1L). NEC Nijmegen: 20th, 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Dinamo Zagreb 0 wins, NEC Nijmegen 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 2–4.

What to expect

We make Dinamo Zagreb the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.59), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Dinamo Zagreb 0 wins, 0 draws, NEC Nijmegen 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 6.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  4. Not available: Dinamo Zagreb 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Dinamo Zagreb: no absences. Not available for NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: head to head

All matches
0Dinamo Zagreb
0Draws
1NEC Nijmegen
22/10/26 · Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.1%

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

On the result, our pick is Dinamo Zagreb to win (1.55); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.59). Prefer less risk? Go for Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X).

Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

As we see it: Dinamo Zagreb to win 62%, the draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen to win 17%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 October 2026, 17:45, at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb. Referee: Manfredas Lukjančukas.

Who will be missing?

Dinamo Zagreb: no absences. NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.59), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.4%), 2–0 (9.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.