Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard takes place on 18 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadion de Goffert (Nijmegen); Alex Bos will referee. We back NEC Nijmegen (55%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.76 | 4.33 | 4.38 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.25 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.43 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.65 | 35.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.11 | 44.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 16:40. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: NEC Nijmegen 13th (11 points), Fortuna Sittard 6th (19 points).
- Absences: NEC Nijmegen 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: injuries, suspensions, absences
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
Fortuna Sittard
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
NEC Nijmegen
Home and away
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. NEC Nijmegen: 13th, 11 points from 11 matches (2W 5D 4L). Fortuna Sittard: 6th, 19 points (5W 4D 2L).
What to expect
We make NEC Nijmegen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Fortuna Sittard look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: NEC Nijmegen 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Not available for Fortuna Sittard: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
On the result, our pick is NEC Nijmegen to win (1.76); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for NEC Nijmegen or draw (1X).
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
As we see it: NEC Nijmegen to win 55%, the draw 23%, Fortuna Sittard to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 19:00, at Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen. Referee: Alex Bos.
Who will be missing?
NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Fortuna Sittard: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.48), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.85).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.7%), 1–1 (9.5%), 2–0 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.