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Eredivisie · Matchweek 9 · 17 October 2026 · 15:30

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, Eredivisie

1ADO Den Haag10.00
XDraw6.76
2PSV Eindhoven1.28

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 13:34

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

ADO Den Haag entertain PSV Eindhoven on 17 October 2026 · 15:30 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague), with Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands the man in the middle. PSV Eindhoven (74%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: tip and prediction
Result
PSV Eindhoven to win
1.28
Goals
Both teams to score
1.57
Combo
PSV Eindhoven & over 2.5 goals
1.65
60% · fair combo odds
74%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or PSV Eindhoven (X2) – probability 89%, odds up to 1.08. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available10.006.761.28
Market average8.786.351.26
Lowest odds8.005.801.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.071.0589.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2574.0%
Under 2.5 goals3.793.5726.0%
Over 3.5 goals1.761.7154.8%
BTTS – yes1.571.5360.6%
BTTS – no2.402.3539.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 13:34. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
  • Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

ADO Den Haag11%
Draw15%
PSV Eindhoven74%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals89.3% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.07
Likely
Draw or PSV Eindhoven (X2)89.2% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.08
Likely
PSV Eindhoven to win74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 2.5 goals74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 3.5 goals54.8% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 3.5 goals45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.12
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.79
Outsider
Draw14.8% · fair odds 6.75 · best 6.76
Outsider
ADO Den Haag to win10.8% · fair odds 9.28 · best 10.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.00
probability of over 53.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 28.6%
0 : 28.2%
1 : 38.2%
0 : 37.8%
1 : 16.1%
1 : 45.8%

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: injuries, suspensions, absences

ADO Den Haag

  • No reported absences

PSV Eindhoven

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

ADO Den Haag

1 NovLPEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
24 OctLADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
17 OctWADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
11 OctDTelstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
19 SeptDADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

PSV Eindhoven

31 OctWPSV Eindhoven 7–0 Willem II
25 OctDPSV Eindhoven 1–1 Feyenoord
20 OctWFC Porto 0–1 PSV Eindhoven
17 OctLADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
13 OctLRB Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven

Home and away

ADO Den Haag at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 8–12
PSV Eindhoven away5 matches: 3W 0D 2L, goals 14–8

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. ADO Den Haag: 17th, 6 points from 11 matches (1W 3D 7L). PSV Eindhoven: 3rd, 23 points (7W 2D 2L).

What to expect

We make PSV Eindhoven the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (8.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.28, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 74%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 74%.
  2. Not available: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for ADO Den Haag: no absences. Not available for PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

On the result, our pick is PSV Eindhoven to win (1.28); on goals, Both teams to score (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or PSV Eindhoven (X2).

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

As we see it: ADO Den Haag to win 11%, the draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven to win 74%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 15:30, at Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands.

Who will be missing?

ADO Den Haag: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 74% chance (odds 1.28), against 26% for under 2.5 (odds 3.79).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (8.6%), 0–2 (8.2%), 1–3 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.