Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven entertain Feyenoord on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at Philips Stadion (Eindhoven), with Serdar Gözübüyük the man in the middle. PSV Eindhoven (47%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.12 | 4.33 | 3.23 |
| Market average | 2.03 | 4.07 | 3.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.06 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.42 | 27.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.2% |
| BTTS – no | 3.60 | 3.34 | 27.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:59. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Feyenoord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points), Feyenoord 1st (25 points).
- Form in the competition: PSV Eindhoven 6W 1D 2L (27:12), Feyenoord 7W 2D 0L (31:10).
- H2H: 40 matches: PSV Eindhoven 17W 9D 14L, goals 73–61.
- Absences: PSV Eindhoven 9, Feyenoord 7.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: injuries, suspensions, absences
PSV Eindhoven
- S. Mijnansred card · will miss the match
- A. Nagaloinjury · will miss the match
- A. Pleaabsence · will miss the match
- J. Schoutenknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Wannerfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Lammersabsence · doubtful
- R. Pepiinjury · doubtful
- K. Sildilliaabsence · doubtful
- R. van Bommelnot in the squad · doubtful
Feyenoord
- T. Beelenbroken leg · will miss the match
- J. Bosknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Nelsonmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Nieuwkoopknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Smalankle injury · will miss the match
- S. van Persieknock · will miss the match
- J. Moderknee injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home and away
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. PSV Eindhoven: 3rd, 23 points from 11 matches (7W 2D 2L). Feyenoord: 1st, 25 points (7W 4D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: PSV Eindhoven 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded, Feyenoord 3.4 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. PSV Eindhoven: 6W 1D 2L, goals 27–12; Feyenoord: 7W 2D 0L, goals 31–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 40 meetings: PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, Feyenoord 14 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 73–61.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 72% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 40; PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, 9 draws, Feyenoord 14 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: PSV Eindhoven 27–12, Feyenoord 31–10.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Not available: PSV Eindhoven 9, Feyenoord 7.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 47%, odds up to 2.09). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for PSV Eindhoven: S. Mijnans, A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi, K. Sildillia, R. van Bommel. Not available for Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, S. van Persie, J. Moder. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
On the result, our pick is PSV Eindhoven to win (2.12); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for PSV Eindhoven or draw (1X).
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
As we see it: PSV Eindhoven to win 47%, the draw 23%, Feyenoord to win 30%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 13:30, at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük.
Who will be missing?
PSV Eindhoven: S. Mijnans, A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi, K. Sildillia, R. van Bommel. Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, S. van Persie, J. Moder. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.32), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 72% (odds 1.31).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (8.6%), 1–1 (8.4%), 2–2 (7.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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