Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 7–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven v Willem II takes place on 31 October 2026 · 17:45 at Philips Stadion (Eindhoven); Danny Makkelie will referee. We back PSV Eindhoven (89%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.09 | 17.50 | 33.00 |
| Market average | 1.07 | 13.31 | 23.88 |
| Lowest odds | 1.04 | 9.06 | 13.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.04 | 1.03 | 92.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 6.50 | 5.72 | 16.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.79 | 1.76 | 52.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Willem II, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Table: PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points), Willem II 18th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: PSV Eindhoven 6W 2D 2L (28:13), Willem II 0W 2D 8L (10:32).
- H2H: 24 matches: PSV Eindhoven 17W 4D 3L, goals 64–24.
- Absences: PSV Eindhoven 6, Willem II 3.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: injuries, suspensions, absences
PSV Eindhoven
- A. Nagaloinjury · will miss the match
- A. Pleaabsence · will miss the match
- J. Schoutenknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Wannerfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Lammersabsence · doubtful
- R. Pepiinjury · doubtful
Willem II
- J. Hoogmaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Lachkargroin injury · will miss the match
- J. Sloryred card · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home and away
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. PSV Eindhoven: 3rd, 23 points from 11 matches (7W 2D 2L). Willem II: 18th, 2 points (0W 2D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: PSV Eindhoven 2.8 scored and 1.3 conceded, Willem II 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. PSV Eindhoven: 6W 2D 2L, goals 28–13; Willem II: 0W 2D 8L, goals 10–32.
- Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, Willem II 3 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 64–24.
What to expect
We make PSV Eindhoven the favourites. The projected scoreline is 4–1, close to 5 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–0 (9.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.09, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.79), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 84%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, 4 draws, Willem II 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: PSV Eindhoven 28–13, Willem II 10–32.
- Projected: close to 5 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 84%.
- Not available: PSV Eindhoven 6, Willem II 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.79). We project close to 5 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for PSV Eindhoven: A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi. Not available for Willem II: J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, J. Slory. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
PSV EindhovenWDLWLWillem IILLLLLPSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: head to head
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PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
On the result, our pick is PSV Eindhoven to win (1.09); on goals, Both teams to score (1.79). Prefer less risk? Go for PSV Eindhoven or draw (1X).
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
As we see it: PSV Eindhoven to win 89%, the draw 7%, Willem II to win 4%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 17:45, at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Referee: Danny Makkelie.
Who will be missing?
PSV Eindhoven: A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi. Willem II: J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, J. Slory. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 84% chance (odds 1.16), against 16% for under 2.5 (odds 6.50).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.79).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 3–0 (9.2%), 4–0 (8.7%), 3–1 (7.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.