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Eredivisie · Matchweek 12 · 7 November 2026 · 17:45

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Eredivisie

1ADO Den Haag2.53
XDraw3.70
2Sparta Rotterdam2.80

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:16

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ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam takes place on 7 November 2026 · 17:45 at WerkTalent Stadion (Den Haag). We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
ADO Den Haag or draw (1X)
1.48
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
65%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.533.702.80
Market average2.423.592.69
Lowest odds2.303.402.62
Megapari2.493.602.68
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1680.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5760.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3739.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.402.3439.9%
BTTS – yes1.501.4763.3%
BTTS – no2.572.5336.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:16. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), Sparta Rotterdam 11th (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 7L (13:24), Sparta Rotterdam 3W 3D 5L (20:26).
  • H2H: 16 matches: ADO Den Haag 4W 4D 8L, goals 14–27.
  • Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, Sparta Rotterdam 0.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

ADO Den Haag39%
Draw26%
Sparta Rotterdam35%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
ADO Den Haag or draw (1X)65.0% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.48
Likely
Both teams score: yes63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 2.5 goals39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.40
Outsider
ADO Den Haag to win38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.53
Outsider
Both teams score: no36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.57
Outsider
Sparta Rotterdam to win35.0% · fair odds 2.86 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw26.2% · fair odds 3.82 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.74
probability of over 46.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.8%
2 : 18.6%
1 : 28.1%
1 : 07.2%
0 : 16.8%
2 : 26.5%

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: injuries, suspensions, absences

ADO Den Haag

  • No reported absences

Sparta Rotterdam

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

ADO Den Haag

1 NovLPEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag
24 OctLADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
17 OctWADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
11 OctDTelstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
19 SeptDADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

Sparta Rotterdam

1 NovWGroningen 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam
25 OctLSparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax
17 OctWSparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II
10 OctDGO Ahead Eagles 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam
19 SeptLSparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen

Home and away

ADO Den Haag at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 8–12
Sparta Rotterdam away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 11–12

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. ADO Den Haag: 17th, 6 points from 11 matches (1W 3D 7L). Sparta Rotterdam: 11th, 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: ADO Den Haag 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded, Sparta Rotterdam 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 7L, goals 13–24; Sparta Rotterdam: 3W 3D 5L, goals 20–26.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 16 meetings: ADO Den Haag 4 wins, Sparta Rotterdam 8 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 14–27.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Sparta Rotterdam look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 16; ADO Den Haag 4 wins, 4 draws, Sparta Rotterdam 8 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: ADO Den Haag 13–24, Sparta Rotterdam 20–26.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
  5. Not available: ADO Den Haag 0, Sparta Rotterdam 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for ADO Den Haag: no absences. Not available for Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: the numbers side by side

ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
42%Form58%
41%Attack59%
62%Defence38%
29%Head to head71%
36%Goals64%
42.5%Overall57.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

ADO Den HaagLLWDD
Sparta RotterdamWLWDL

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: head to head

All matches
4ADO Den Haag
4Draws
8Sparta Rotterdam
12/7/25 · ADO Den Haag 0–2 Sparta Rotterdam
19/3/25 · ADO Den Haag 0–2 Sparta Rotterdam
13/7/24 · Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 ADO Den Haag
20/12/23 · ADO Den Haag 2–0 Sparta Rotterdam
1/8/23 · ADO Den Haag 1–2 Sparta Rotterdam
4/12/22 · ADO Den Haag 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.4%

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

On the result, our pick is ADO Den Haag or draw (1X) (1.48); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for ADO Den Haag or draw (1X).

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

As we see it: ADO Den Haag to win 39%, the draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam to win 35%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 17:45, at WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag.

Who will be missing?

ADO Den Haag: no absences. Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.60), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (8.6%), 1–2 (8.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 NovTwente vs Ajax 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.