Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SC Freiburg v Bayern München takes place on 25 October 2026 · 16:30 at Europa-Park-Stadion (Freiburg); Felix Zwayer will referee. We back Bayern München (64%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.75 | 5.28 | 1.53 |
| Market average | 5.49 | 5.05 | 1.49 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.47 | 27.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 53.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 65.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.81 | 2.72 | 34.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SC Freiburg 1–2 Bayern München, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points), Bayern München 1st (18 points).
- Form in the competition: SC Freiburg 4W 1D 1L (15:6), Bayern München 4W 2D 0L (22:5).
- H2H: 32 matches: SC Freiburg 2W 6D 24L, goals 27–85.
- Absences: SC Freiburg 2, Bayern München 7.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: injuries, suspensions, absences
SC Freiburg
- Y. Engelhardtinjury · doubtful
- B. Yilmazabsence · doubtful
Bayern München
- T. Buchmannknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Diazmuscle injury · will miss the match
- Kim Min-Jaeknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Kimmichabsence · will miss the match
- J. Musialamuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Neuerfoot injury · will miss the match
- A. Pavloviccalf injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
SC Freiburg
Home and away
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. SC Freiburg: 3rd, 16 points from 8 matches (5W 1D 2L). Bayern München: 1st, 18 points (5W 3D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: SC Freiburg 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded, Bayern München 3.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SC Freiburg: 4W 1D 1L, goals 15–6; Bayern München: 4W 2D 0L, goals 22–5.
- Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: SC Freiburg 2 wins, Bayern München 24 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 27–85.
What to expect
We make Bayern München the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.86), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 32; SC Freiburg 2 wins, 6 draws, Bayern München 24 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: SC Freiburg 15–6, Bayern München 22–5.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Not available: SC Freiburg 2, Bayern München 7.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 47%, odds up to 2.10). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for SC Freiburg: Y. Engelhardt, B. Yilmaz. Not available for Bayern München: T. Buchmann, L. Diaz, Kim Min-Jae, J. Kimmich, J. Musiala, M. Neuer, A. Pavlovic. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SC FreiburgWLLWDBayern MünchenDWWDWSC Freiburg vs Bayern München: head to head
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SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
On the result, our pick is Bayern München to win (1.53); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.86). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bayern München (X2).
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
As we see it: SC Freiburg to win 17%, the draw 19%, Bayern München to win 64%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 16:30, at Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg. Referee: Felix Zwayer.
Who will be missing?
SC Freiburg: Y. Engelhardt, B. Yilmaz. Bayern München: T. Buchmann, L. Diaz, Kim Min-Jae, J. Kimmich, J. Musiala, M. Neuer, A. Pavlovic. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.33), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.2%), 1–3 (7.7%), 1–1 (7.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.