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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Lincoln Red Imps FC11.00
XDraw5.42
2HNK Hajduk Split1.35

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:27

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Lincoln Red Imps FC entertain HNK Hajduk Split on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Europa Point Stadium. HNK Hajduk Split (71%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: tip and prediction
Result
HNK Hajduk Split to win
1.35
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
Combo
HNK Hajduk Split & over 2.5 goals
2.16
46% · fair combo odds
71%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2) – probability 90%, odds up to 1.09.

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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available11.005.421.35
Market average9.555.031.31
Lowest odds8.504.751.28
Megapari9.605.181.35
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2177.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.751.7055.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.1244.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.6934.7%
BTTS – yes2.152.0944.6%
BTTS – no1.731.6855.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:27. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

Bet with Megapari →

Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 HNK Hajduk Split, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lincoln Red Imps FC 33rd (0 points), HNK Hajduk Split 8th (6 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1W 0D 3L (5:8), HNK Hajduk Split 5W 1D 0L (17:7).
  • Absences: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Lincoln Red Imps FC10%
Draw19%
HNK Hajduk Split71%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: more betting markets

Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2)90.1% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 1.5 goals77.4% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.24
Likely
HNK Hajduk Split to win71.5% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.3% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
Over 2.5 goals55.5% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams score: no55.4% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: yes44.6% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.15
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals44.5% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.7% · fair odds 2.88 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw18.6% · fair odds 5.36 · best 5.42
Outsider
Lincoln Red Imps FC to win9.9% · fair odds 10.14 · best 11.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 213.3%
0 : 112.1%
0 : 39.8%
1 : 29.3%
1 : 18.5%
1 : 36.8%

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • No reported absences

HNK Hajduk Split

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Lincoln Red Imps FC

22 OctLLincoln Red Imps FC 1–4 Twente
15 OctLBrann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC
27 AugWLarne 0–3 Lincoln Red Imps FC
20 AugLLincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne

HNK Hajduk Split

22 OctWFC Thun 0–1 HNK Hajduk Split
15 OctWHNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax
27 AugWRaków Częstochowa 2–3 HNK Hajduk Split
20 AugDHNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Raków Częstochowa
13 AugWHNK Hajduk Split 4–0 FK Žalgiris Vilnius

Home and away

Lincoln Red Imps FC at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–4
HNK Hajduk Split away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 33rd, 0 points from 2 matches (0W 0D 2L). HNK Hajduk Split: 8th, 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded, HNK Hajduk Split 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–8; HNK Hajduk Split: 5W 1D 0L, goals 17–7.

What to expect

We make HNK Hajduk Split the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (13.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 45% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Lincoln Red Imps FC 5–8, HNK Hajduk Split 17–7.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
  3. Not available: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lincoln Red Imps FC: no absences. Not available for HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: the numbers side by side

Lincoln Red Imps FCHNK Hajduk Split
19%Form81%
29%Attack71%
38%Defence62%
22.8%Overall77.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Lincoln Red Imps FCLL
HNK Hajduk SplitWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

On the result, our pick is HNK Hajduk Split to win (1.35); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2).

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split?

As we see it: Lincoln Red Imps FC to win 10%, the draw 19%, HNK Hajduk Split to win 71%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 17:45, at Europa Point Stadium.

Who will be missing?

Lincoln Red Imps FC: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.75), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.15).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 45% (odds 2.15).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–2 (13.3%), 0–1 (12.1%), 0–3 (9.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovTrabzonspor vs SC Freiburg 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.