Bet with MINO CASINO →FC Midtjylland entertain Ajax on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at MCH Arena (Herning). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.92 | 3.76 | 2.40 |
| Market average | 2.74 | 3.60 | 2.32 |
| Lowest odds | 2.48 | 3.40 | 2.21 |
| Megapari | 2.92 | 3.67 | 2.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.51 | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.21 | 42.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.68 | 34.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:27. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Midtjylland 1–1 Ajax, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Midtjylland 25th (1 point), Ajax 13th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Midtjylland 4W 1D 1L (12:5), Ajax 6W 1D 1L (25:12).
- H2H: 2 matches: FC Midtjylland 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–5.
- Absences: FC Midtjylland 0, Ajax 0.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC Midtjylland
- No reported absences
Ajax
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
FC Midtjylland
Home and away
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC Midtjylland: 25th, 1 point from 2 matches (0W 1D 1L). Ajax: 13th, 3 points (1W 0D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: FC Midtjylland 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, Ajax 3.1 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Midtjylland: 4W 1D 1L, goals 12–5; Ajax: 6W 1D 1L, goals 25–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: FC Midtjylland 0 wins, Ajax 2 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 2–5.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; FC Midtjylland 0 wins, 0 draws, Ajax 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: FC Midtjylland 12–5, Ajax 25–12.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Not available: FC Midtjylland 0, Ajax 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC Midtjylland: no absences. Not available for Ajax: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FC MidtjyllandLDAjaxWLFC Midtjylland vs Ajax: head to head
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FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Ajax (X2) (1.45); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Ajax (X2).
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
As we see it: FC Midtjylland to win 34%, the draw 26%, Ajax to win 40%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
5 November 2026, 17:45, at MCH Arena, Herning.
Who will be missing?
FC Midtjylland: no absences. Ajax: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.55), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (8.7%), 2–1 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.