Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen entertain SC Freiburg on 18 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen), with Florian Badstübner, Germany the man in the middle. Bayer Leverkusen (59%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.64 | 4.67 | 5.17 |
| Market average | 1.61 | 4.49 | 4.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.43 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.84 | 2.71 | 34.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.49 | 62.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Home and away
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bayer Leverkusen: 6th, 13 points from 8 matches (4W 1D 3L). SC Freiburg: 3rd, 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
What to expect
We make Bayer Leverkusen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Not available for SC Freiburg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (1.64); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
As we see it: Bayer Leverkusen to win 59%, the draw 21%, SC Freiburg to win 19%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 14:30, at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Referee: Florian Badstübner, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.45), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.84).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.7%), 1–1 (9.1%), 2–0 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.