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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Atalanta1.20
XDraw8.40
2Kairat Almaty17.00

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:27

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Atalanta entertain Kairat Almaty on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at New Balance Arena (Bergamo). Atalanta (80%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: tip and prediction
Result
Atalanta to win
1.20
Goals
At least one team fails to score
1.76
Combo
Atalanta & over 2.5 goals
1.68
59% · fair combo odds
80%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Atalanta or draw (1X) – probability 93%, odds up to 1.04. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.208.4017.00
Market average1.167.2114.21
Lowest odds1.135.909.45
Megapari1.178.4016.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.131.1084.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.3967.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.982.8432.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.051.9947.3%
BTTS – yes2.102.0046.4%
BTTS – no1.761.7353.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:27. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Atalanta 2–0 Kairat Almaty, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Atalanta 15th (3 points), Kairat Almaty 31st (1 point).
  • Form in the competition: Atalanta 2W 1D 1L (4:3), Kairat Almaty 0W 1D 1L (2:6).
  • Absences: Atalanta 0, Kairat Almaty 0.

Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

Atalanta80%
Draw13%
Kairat Almaty7%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: more betting markets

Atalanta or draw (1X)93.3% · fair odds 1.07 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 1.5 goals84.5% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.13
Likely
Atalanta to win80.3% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Over 2.5 goals67.2% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: no53.6% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 3.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.86
Possible
Over 3.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both teams score: yes46.4% · fair odds 2.16 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals32.8% · fair odds 3.05 · best 2.98
Outsider
Draw13.0% · fair odds 7.68 · best 8.40
Outsider
Kairat Almaty to win6.7% · fair odds 14.91 · best 17.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.04 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.5%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 012.0%
3 : 011.0%
1 : 08.7%
2 : 18.4%
3 : 17.7%
4 : 07.6%

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: injuries, suspensions, absences

Atalanta

  • No reported absences

Kairat Almaty

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Atalanta

29 OctDFiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
25 OctDAtalanta 4–4 Frosinone
22 OctLAjax 2–0 Atalanta
18 OctLAC Milan 3–2 Atalanta
15 OctWAtalanta 3–1 Pafos

Kairat Almaty

22 OctLKairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos
15 OctDRiga 1–1 Kairat Almaty

Home and away

Atalanta at home1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1
Kairat Almaty away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Atalanta: 15th, 3 points from 2 matches (1W 0D 1L). Kairat Almaty: 31st, 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Atalanta 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, Kairat Almaty 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Atalanta: 2W 1D 1L, goals 4–3; Kairat Almaty: 0W 1D 1L, goals 2–6.

What to expect

We make Atalanta the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (12.0%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.20, so the goals markets are an option too: At least one team fails to score (odds 1.76), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Atalanta 4–3, Kairat Almaty 2–6.
  2. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
  3. Not available: Atalanta 0, Kairat Almaty 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 54%, odds up to 1.76). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Atalanta: no absences. Not available for Kairat Almaty: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: the numbers side by side

AtalantaKairat Almaty
88%Form13%
67%Attack33%
67%Defence33%
73.0%Overall27.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

AtalantaLW
Kairat AlmatyLD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

On the result, our pick is Atalanta to win (1.20); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for Atalanta or draw (1X).

Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?

As we see it: Atalanta to win 80%, the draw 13%, Kairat Almaty to win 7%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 17:45, at New Balance Arena, Bergamo.

Who will be missing?

Atalanta: no absences. Kairat Almaty: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.44), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 2.98).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.10).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (12.0%), 3–0 (11.0%), 1–0 (8.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 NovTrabzonspor vs SC Freiburg 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.