Atalanta entertain Kairat Almaty on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at New Balance Arena (Bergamo). Atalanta (80%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.20 | 8.40 | 17.00 |
| Market average | 1.16 | 7.21 | 14.21 |
| Lowest odds | 1.13 | 5.90 | 9.45 |
| Megapari | 1.17 | 8.40 | 16.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.39 | 67.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.98 | 2.84 | 32.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.99 | 47.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 2.00 | 46.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.76 | 1.73 | 53.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:27. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Atalanta 2–0 Kairat Almaty, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Atalanta 15th (3 points), Kairat Almaty 31st (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Atalanta 2W 1D 1L (4:3), Kairat Almaty 0W 1D 1L (2:6).
- Absences: Atalanta 0, Kairat Almaty 0.
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: injuries, suspensions, absences
Atalanta
- No reported absences
Kairat Almaty
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 22 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Atalanta
Home and away
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Atalanta: 15th, 3 points from 2 matches (1W 0D 1L). Kairat Almaty: 31st, 1 point (0W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Atalanta 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, Kairat Almaty 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Atalanta: 2W 1D 1L, goals 4–3; Kairat Almaty: 0W 1D 1L, goals 2–6.
What to expect
We make Atalanta the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (12.0%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.20, so the goals markets are an option too: At least one team fails to score (odds 1.76), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: Atalanta 4–3, Kairat Almaty 2–6.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Not available: Atalanta 0, Kairat Almaty 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 54%, odds up to 1.76). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Atalanta: no absences. Not available for Kairat Almaty: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
On the result, our pick is Atalanta to win (1.20); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for Atalanta or draw (1X).
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
As we see it: Atalanta to win 80%, the draw 13%, Kairat Almaty to win 7%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
5 November 2026, 17:45, at New Balance Arena, Bergamo.
Who will be missing?
Atalanta: no absences. Kairat Almaty: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.44), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 2.98).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.10).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (12.0%), 3–0 (11.0%), 1–0 (8.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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