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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Lillestrøm vs Plzeň tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Lillestrøm2.85
XDraw3.86
2Plzeň2.41

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:28

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Lillestrøm and Plzeň meet on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Åråsen Stadion (Kjeller). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Plzeň (X2)
1.47
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
66%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.853.862.41
Market average2.753.662.32
Lowest odds2.523.282.23
Megapari2.923.882.32
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1680.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5660.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.462.4039.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.422.3639.8%
BTTS – yes1.501.4763.2%
BTTS – no2.632.5436.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Lillestrøm 31st (1 point), Plzeň 33rd (0 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 1W 2D 2L (4:10), Plzeň 1W 0D 4L (7:11).
  • Absences: Lillestrøm 0, Plzeň 0.

Who will win Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?

Lillestrøm34%
Draw26%
Plzeň40%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Plzeň (X2)65.9% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes63.2% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.5% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.60
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.60
Likely
Plzeň to win40.3% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.41
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.42
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.46
Outsider
Both teams score: no36.8% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.63
Outsider
Lillestrøm to win34.1% · fair odds 2.93 · best 2.85
Outsider
Draw25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.86
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.85 · Under 1.90
probability of over 50.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.6%
1 : 28.7%
2 : 18.0%
0 : 17.1%
2 : 26.6%
1 : 06.4%

Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lillestrøm

  • No reported absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Lillestrøm

1 NovWStart 0–1 Lillestrøm
25 OctWLillestrøm 3–2 Brann
22 OctLLillestrøm 0–6 Real Sociedad
18 OctWSandefjord 0–2 Lillestrøm
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Plzeň

1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň

Home and away

Lillestrøm at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–8
Plzeň away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2

Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lillestrøm: 31st, 1 point from 3 matches (0W 1D 2L). Plzeň: 33rd, 0 points (0W 0D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lillestrøm 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded, Plzeň 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 1W 2D 2L, goals 4–10; Plzeň: 1W 0D 4L, goals 7–11.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Lillestrøm 4–10, Plzeň 7–11.
  2. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
  3. Not available: Lillestrøm 0, Plzeň 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lillestrøm: no absences. Not available for Plzeň: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: the numbers side by side

LillestrømPlzeň
63%Form38%
36%Attack64%
52%Defence48%
51.8%Overall48.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

LillestrømLDL
PlzeňLLL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Lillestrøm vs Plzeň: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Plzeň (X2) (1.47); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Plzeň (X2).

Who will win Lillestrøm vs Plzeň?

As we see it: Lillestrøm to win 34%, the draw 26%, Plzeň to win 40%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 17:45, at Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller.

Who will be missing?

Lillestrøm: no absences. Plzeň: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.60), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.46).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (8.7%), 2–1 (8.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 NovReal Sociedad vs Lyon 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.