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Eliteserien · Matchweek 25 · 1 November 2026 · 16:00

Start vs Lillestrøm tip, odds and prediction, 1 November 2026, Eliteserien

LWLLL
0–1
1Start2.98
XDraw3.78
2Lillestrøm2.35

Top odds available · Updated 1/11/26, 12:07

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Start entertain Lillestrøm on 1 November 2026 · 16:00 at Sør Arena (Kristiansand), with Ola Hobber Nilsen the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Start vs Lillestrøm: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Lillestrøm (X2)
1.45
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
67%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Start vs Lillestrøm: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.983.782.35
Market average2.803.652.28
Lowest odds2.573.422.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1481.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5261.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.562.4438.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.382.2941.1%
BTTS – yes1.501.4464.2%
BTTS – no2.702.5935.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:07. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Start 1–1 Lillestrøm, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Start 16th (19 points), Lillestrøm 5th (42 points).
  • Form in the competition: Start 5W 4D 15L (26:54), Lillestrøm 12W 3D 9L (35:33).
  • H2H: 7 matches: Start 1W 2D 4L, goals 6–12.
  • Absences: Start 4, Lillestrøm 3.

Who will win Start vs Lillestrøm?

Start33%
Draw26%
Lillestrøm41%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Start vs Lillestrøm: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals81.9% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Draw or Lillestrøm (X2)66.7% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.45
Likely
Both teams score: yes64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.38
Outsider
Lillestrøm to win41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.35
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.56
Outsider
Both teams score: no35.8% · fair odds 2.79 · best 2.70
Outsider
Start to win33.3% · fair odds 3.00 · best 2.98
Outsider
Draw25.6% · fair odds 3.90 · best 3.78
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.6%
1 : 28.7%
2 : 18.0%
0 : 17.1%
2 : 26.6%
1 : 06.4%

Start vs Lillestrøm: injuries, suspensions, absences

Start

  • J. Husebofoot injury · will miss the match
  • F. Manojlovicabsence · will miss the match
  • K. Tonnesenabsence · will miss the match
  • S. Griesbeckinjury · doubtful

Lillestrøm

  • C. Jebaragroin injury · will miss the match
  • P. Dahlberginjury · doubtful
  • E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Start vs Lillestrøm: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Start

1 NovLStart 0–1 Lillestrøm
25 OctWStart 1–0 Sandefjord
18 OctLMolde 6–1 Start
11 OctLStart 2–4 Ham-Kam
20 SeptLSandefjord 3–0 Start

Lillestrøm

1 NovWStart 0–1 Lillestrøm
25 OctWLillestrøm 3–2 Brann
22 OctLLillestrøm 0–6 Real Sociedad
18 OctWSandefjord 0–2 Lillestrøm
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Home and away

Start at home13 matches: 4W 3D 6L, goals 15–20
Lillestrøm away13 matches: 7W 2D 4L, goals 14–14

Start vs Lillestrøm: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Start: 16th, 19 points from 25 matches (5W 4D 16L). Lillestrøm: 5th, 42 points (13W 3D 9L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Start 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded, Lillestrøm 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Start: 5W 4D 15L, goals 26–54; Lillestrøm: 12W 3D 9L, goals 35–33.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: Start 1 win, Lillestrøm 4 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 6–12.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 7; Start 1 win, 2 draws, Lillestrøm 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Start 26–54, Lillestrøm 35–33.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  5. Not available: Start 4, Lillestrøm 3.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, K. Tonnesen, S. Griesbeck. Not available for Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, P. Dahlberg, E. B. Garnas. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Start vs Lillestrøm: the numbers side by side

StartLillestrøm
38%Form63%
40%Attack60%
35%Defence65%
20%Head to head80%
29%Goals71%
33.5%Overall66.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

StartLWLLL
LillestrømWWWDL

Start vs Lillestrøm: head to head

All matches
1Start
2Draws
4Lillestrøm
11/4/26 · Lillestrøm 3–1 Start
16/8/25 · Lillestrøm 3–0 Start
26/7/25 · Start 0–3 Lillestrøm
16/9/18 · Start 3–0 Lillestrøm
9/4/18 · Lillestrøm 1–0 Start
23/10/16 · Lillestrøm 1–1 Start

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Start vs Lillestrøm: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Start vs Lillestrøm?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Lillestrøm (X2) (1.45); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Lillestrøm (X2).

Who will win Start vs Lillestrøm?

As we see it: Start to win 33%, the draw 26%, Lillestrøm to win 41%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

1 November 2026, 16:00, at Sør Arena, Kristiansand. Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen.

Who will be missing?

Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, K. Tonnesen, S. Griesbeck. Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, P. Dahlberg, E. B. Garnas. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.55), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.56).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (8.7%), 2–1 (8.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.