Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Start entertain Lillestrøm on 1 November 2026 · 16:00 at Sør Arena (Kristiansand), with Ola Hobber Nilsen the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Start vs Lillestrøm: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.98 | 3.78 | 2.35 |
| Market average | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 2.57 | 3.42 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.56 | 2.44 | 38.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.59 | 35.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:07. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Start 1–1 Lillestrøm, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Start 16th (19 points), Lillestrøm 5th (42 points).
- Form in the competition: Start 5W 4D 15L (26:54), Lillestrøm 12W 3D 9L (35:33).
- H2H: 7 matches: Start 1W 2D 4L, goals 6–12.
- Absences: Start 4, Lillestrøm 3.
Who will win Start vs Lillestrøm?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Start vs Lillestrøm: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Start vs Lillestrøm: injuries, suspensions, absences
Start
- J. Husebofoot injury · will miss the match
- F. Manojlovicabsence · will miss the match
- K. Tonnesenabsence · will miss the match
- S. Griesbeckinjury · doubtful
Lillestrøm
- C. Jebaragroin injury · will miss the match
- P. Dahlberginjury · doubtful
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Start vs Lillestrøm: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 | |
| 2 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 | |
| 5 | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 | |
| 6 | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 | |
| 7 | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 | |
| 15 | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 | |
| 16 | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Start
Home and away
Start vs Lillestrøm: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Start: 16th, 19 points from 25 matches (5W 4D 16L). Lillestrøm: 5th, 42 points (13W 3D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Start 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded, Lillestrøm 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Start: 5W 4D 15L, goals 26–54; Lillestrøm: 12W 3D 9L, goals 35–33.
- Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: Start 1 win, Lillestrøm 4 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 6–12.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 7; Start 1 win, 2 draws, Lillestrøm 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Start 26–54, Lillestrøm 35–33.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Start 4, Lillestrøm 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, K. Tonnesen, S. Griesbeck. Not available for Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, P. Dahlberg, E. B. Garnas. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Start vs Lillestrøm: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Start vs Lillestrøm: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Start vs Lillestrøm: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Start vs Lillestrøm?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Lillestrøm (X2) (1.45); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Lillestrøm (X2).
Who will win Start vs Lillestrøm?
As we see it: Start to win 33%, the draw 26%, Lillestrøm to win 41%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 16:00, at Sør Arena, Kristiansand. Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen.
Who will be missing?
Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, K. Tonnesen, S. Griesbeck. Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, P. Dahlberg, E. B. Garnas. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.55), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.56).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (8.7%), 2–1 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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