Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lillestrøm entertain Real Sociedad on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm), with Mohammad Al-Emara the man in the middle. Real Sociedad (68%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 7.00 | 5.52 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.68 | 5.25 | 1.40 |
| Lowest odds | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.36 | 68.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.26 | 3.03 | 31.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.13 | 1.96 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–2 Real Sociedad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 31st (1 point), Real Sociedad 14th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Lillestrøm 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–6.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 0, Real Sociedad 0.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
Real Sociedad
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lillestrøm: 31st, 1 point from 3 matches (0W 1D 2L). Real Sociedad: 14th, 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Lillestrøm 0 wins, Real Sociedad 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 0–6.
What to expect
We make Real Sociedad the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 69%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Lillestrøm 0 wins, 0 draws, Real Sociedad 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 6.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Not available: Lillestrøm 0, Real Sociedad 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lillestrøm: no absences. Not available for Real Sociedad: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: head to head
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Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
On the result, our pick is Real Sociedad to win (1.45); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Real Sociedad (X2).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
As we see it: Lillestrøm to win 14%, the draw 18%, Real Sociedad to win 68%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 20:00, at Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: no absences. Real Sociedad: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 69% chance (odds 1.44), against 31% for under 2.5 (odds 3.26).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.5%), 0–2 (9.1%), 1–3 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.