Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sandefjord and Lillestrøm meet on 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Sandefjord Arena (Sandefjord), under referee Tore Hansen, Norway. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.61 | 3.68 | 2.64 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.58 | 2.54 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.36 | 39.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.58 | 2.53 | 36.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sandefjord 1–1 Lillestrøm, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sandefjord 12th (27 points), Lillestrøm 5th (42 points).
- H2H: 18 matches: Sandefjord 3W 3D 12L, goals 20–37.
- Absences: Sandefjord 0, Lillestrøm 0.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sandefjord
- No reported absences
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sandefjord
Home and away
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sandefjord: 12th, 27 points from 25 matches (7W 6D 12L). Lillestrøm: 5th, 42 points (13W 3D 9L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Sandefjord 3 wins, Lillestrøm 12 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 20–37.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Lillestrøm look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 18; Sandefjord 3 wins, 3 draws, Lillestrøm 12 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Sandefjord 0, Lillestrøm 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sandefjord: no absences. Not available for Lillestrøm: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
On the result, our pick is Sandefjord or draw (1X) (1.50); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Sandefjord or draw (1X).
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
As we see it: Sandefjord to win 37%, the draw 26%, Lillestrøm to win 37%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 16:00, at Sandefjord Arena, Sandefjord. Referee: Tore Hansen, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Sandefjord: no absences. Lillestrøm: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.61), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 1–2 (8.4%), 2–1 (8.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.