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Chance Liga · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 17:00

Plzeň vs Pardubice tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Chance Liga

WLWWL
1–2
1Plzeň1.69
XDraw4.31
2Pardubice4.75

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 16:54

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Plzeň v Pardubice takes place on 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Doosan Arena (Pilsner); Daniel Vokoun will referee. We back Plzeň (56%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Plzeň vs Pardubice: tip and prediction
Result
Plzeň to win
1.69
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Plzeň & over 2.5 goals
2.57
39% · fair combo odds
56%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Plzeň or draw (1X) – probability 79%, odds up to 1.22.

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Plzeň vs Pardubice: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.694.314.75
Market average1.644.024.47
Lowest odds1.593.714.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.651.5759.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.392.2840.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.4538.3%
BTTS – yes1.671.6057.9%
BTTS – no2.252.2042.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 16:54. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.4%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Pardubice, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Plzeň 9th (19 points), Pardubice 12th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Plzeň 4W 4D 3L (23:19), Pardubice 3W 2D 6L (12:16).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Plzeň 8W 2D 3L, goals 27–13.
  • Absences: Plzeň 0, Pardubice 0.

Who will win Plzeň vs Pardubice?

Plzeň56%
Draw23%
Pardubice21%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Plzeň vs Pardubice: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals80.0% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Plzeň or draw (1X)79.3% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.2% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.65
Possible
Both teams score: yes57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.67
Possible
Plzeň to win56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.69
Possible
Both teams score: no42.1% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.8% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.39
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.35 · best 4.31
Outsider
Pardubice to win20.7% · fair odds 4.84 · best 4.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.07 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.2%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.2%
2 : 09.0%
3 : 16.4%
3 : 05.9%

Plzeň vs Pardubice: injuries, suspensions, absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Pardubice

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Plzeň vs Pardubice: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Plzeň

1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň

Pardubice

31 OctLPardubice 1–2 Slovan Liberec
25 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
17 OctWPardubice 3–0 Zlín
11 OctLSparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice
19 SeptWPardubice 2–1 Bohemians 1905

Home and away

Plzeň at home7 matches: 2W 2D 3L, goals 12–12
Pardubice away7 matches: 2W 1D 4L, goals 7–11

Plzeň vs Pardubice: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Plzeň: 9th, 19 points from 13 matches (5W 4D 4L). Pardubice: 12th, 14 points (4W 2D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Plzeň 2.1 scored and 1.7 conceded, Pardubice 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Plzeň: 4W 4D 3L, goals 23–19; Pardubice: 3W 2D 6L, goals 12–16.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 13 meetings: Plzeň 8 wins, Pardubice 3 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 27–13.

What to expect

We make Plzeň the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 13; Plzeň 8 wins, 2 draws, Pardubice 3 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Plzeň 23–19, Pardubice 12–16.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  5. Not available: Plzeň 0, Pardubice 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Plzeň: no absences. Not available for Pardubice: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Plzeň vs Pardubice: the numbers side by side

PlzeňPardubice
41%Form59%
56%Attack44%
36%Defence64%
71%Head to head29%
71%Goals29%
56.7%Overall43.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

PlzeňWLWWL
PardubiceLWWLW

Plzeň vs Pardubice: head to head

All matches
8Plzeň
2Draws
3Pardubice
25/10/26 · Plzeň 1–2 Pardubice
19/4/26 · Plzeň 0–1 Pardubice
18/7/25 · Pardubice 1–5 Plzeň
9/3/25 · Pardubice 0–0 Plzeň
6/10/24 · Plzeň 2–0 Pardubice
2/3/24 · Pardubice 2–3 Plzeň

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.4%

Plzeň vs Pardubice: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Plzeň vs Pardubice?

On the result, our pick is Plzeň to win (1.69); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Plzeň or draw (1X).

Who will win Plzeň vs Pardubice?

As we see it: Plzeň to win 56%, the draw 23%, Pardubice to win 21%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 17:00, at Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Referee: Daniel Vokoun.

Who will be missing?

Plzeň: no absences. Pardubice: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.65), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.39).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.2%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.