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Chance Liga · Matchweek 11 · 18 October 2026 · 17:00

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Chance Liga

2–3
WLWWL
1FK Jablonec2.37
XDraw3.50
2Plzeň2.93

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 13:16

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FK Jablonec entertain Plzeň on 18 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadion Střelnice (Jablonec), with Jan Machálek the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
FK Jablonec or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
67%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.373.502.93
Market average2.303.412.85
Lowest odds2.253.302.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2475.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8151.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.011.9548.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.103.0030.9%
BTTS – yes1.701.6556.3%
BTTS – no2.152.1243.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 13:16. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: FK Jablonec 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: FK Jablonec 7th (20 points), Plzeň 9th (19 points).
  • Absences: FK Jablonec 0, Plzeň 0.

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?

FK Jablonec40%
Draw27%
Plzeň33%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.0% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.38
Likely
FK Jablonec or draw (1X)67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.9% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.1% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.01
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.15
Outsider
FK Jablonec to win40.3% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.37
Outsider
Plzeň to win32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 2.93
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.9% · fair odds 3.24 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.01
probability of over 53.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.1%
1 : 09.3%
2 : 18.7%
0 : 18.3%
1 : 27.8%
2 : 06.7%

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: injuries, suspensions, absences

FK Jablonec

  • No reported absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

FK Jablonec

31 OctLFK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
25 OctWHradec Králové 1–2 FK Jablonec
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctLFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLSC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec

Plzeň

1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň

Home and away

FK Jablonec at home7 matches: 3W 1D 3L, goals 10–12
Plzeň away6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 16–9

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. FK Jablonec: 7th, 20 points from 13 matches (6W 2D 5L). Plzeň: 9th, 19 points (5W 4D 4L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  2. Not available: FK Jablonec 0, Plzeň 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for FK Jablonec: no absences. Not available for Plzeň: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

FK Jablonec vs Plzeň: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?

On the result, our pick is FK Jablonec or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for FK Jablonec or draw (1X).

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Plzeň?

As we see it: FK Jablonec to win 40%, the draw 27%, Plzeň to win 33%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 17:00, at Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec. Referee: Jan Machálek.

Who will be missing?

FK Jablonec: no absences. Plzeň: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.85), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.01).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–0 (9.3%), 2–1 (8.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.