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Eliteserien · Matchweek 12 · 25 October 2026 · 16:00

Lillestrøm vs Brann tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Eliteserien

3–2
WLLLW
1Lillestrøm2.35
XDraw3.96
2Brann2.84

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 12:04

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Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lillestrøm v Brann takes place on 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm); Mohammad Usman Aslam will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Lillestrøm vs Brann: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Lillestrøm or draw (1X)
1.47
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.88
66%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Lillestrøm vs Brann: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.353.962.84
Market average2.273.802.75
Lowest odds2.203.602.63
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.131.1085.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.421.3967.5%
Under 2.5 goals3.102.8832.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.051.9747.7%
BTTS – yes1.401.3568.4%
BTTS – no3.102.9431.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Lillestrøm 5th (42 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 11W 3D 9L (32:31), Brann 9W 2D 12L (40:37).
  • H2H: 17 matches: Lillestrøm 4W 4D 9L, goals 17–28.
  • Absences: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.

Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?

Lillestrøm41%
Draw25%
Brann34%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lillestrøm vs Brann: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals85.2% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.13
Likely
Both teams score: yes68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 2.5 goals67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
Lillestrøm or draw (1X)66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
Under 3.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.88
Possible
Over 3.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.05
Outsider
Lillestrøm to win41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.35
Outsider
Brann to win34.0% · fair odds 2.94 · best 2.84
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 3.10
Outsider
Both teams score: no31.6% · fair odds 3.17 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw24.7% · fair odds 4.05 · best 3.96
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 11.5 corners
Over 1.94 · Under 1.79
probability of over 47.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 19.4%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 27.8%
2 : 27.0%
1 : 05.7%
0 : 15.2%

Lillestrøm vs Brann: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lillestrøm

  • C. Jebarainjury · will miss the match
  • E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful

Brann

  • N. Boakyeknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Kjartanssonknee injury · will miss the match
  • U. Mathisenfoot injury · will miss the match
  • S. Opsahlfoot injury · will miss the match
  • J. Sorensenabsence · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lillestrøm vs Brann: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Lillestrøm

1 NovWStart 0–1 Lillestrøm
25 OctWLillestrøm 3–2 Brann
22 OctLLillestrøm 0–6 Real Sociedad
18 OctWSandefjord 0–2 Lillestrøm
15 OctDSparta Praha 1–1 Lillestrøm

Brann

1 NovWBrann 3–2 Molde
25 OctLLillestrøm 3–2 Brann
22 OctWKauno Žalgiris 1–4 Brann
18 OctLVålerenga 3–1 Brann
15 OctWBrann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC

Home and away

Lillestrøm at home12 matches: 6W 1D 5L, goals 22–19
Brann away12 matches: 3W 2D 7L, goals 22–22

Lillestrøm vs Brann: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lillestrøm: 5th, 42 points from 25 matches (13W 3D 9L). Brann: 7th, 32 points (10W 2D 13L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lillestrøm 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded, Brann 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 11W 3D 9L, goals 32–31; Brann: 9W 2D 12L, goals 40–37.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Lillestrøm 4 wins, Brann 9 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 17–28.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.88), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 68% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 17; Lillestrøm 4 wins, 4 draws, Brann 9 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Lillestrøm 32–31, Brann 40–37.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
  5. Not available: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, odds up to 2.05). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Not available for Brann: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Lillestrøm vs Brann: the numbers side by side

LillestrømBrann
77%Form23%
67%Attack33%
63%Defence38%
29%Head to head71%
36%Goals64%
52.8%Overall47.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

LillestrømWWWDL
BrannWLLLW

Lillestrøm vs Brann: head to head

All matches
4Lillestrøm
4Draws
9Brann
25/10/26 · Lillestrøm 3–2 Brann
5/9/26 · Brann 1–2 Lillestrøm
9/11/24 · Brann 2–1 Lillestrøm
12/5/24 · Lillestrøm 0–2 Brann
1/10/23 · Lillestrøm 0–2 Brann
11/6/23 · Brann 2–2 Lillestrøm

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Lillestrøm vs Brann: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lillestrøm vs Brann?

On the result, our pick is Lillestrøm or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.88). Prefer less risk? Go for Lillestrøm or draw (1X).

Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?

As we see it: Lillestrøm to win 41%, the draw 25%, Brann to win 34%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 16:00, at Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam.

Who will be missing?

Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Brann: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.42), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.10).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 68% (odds 1.40).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (9.4%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (7.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.