Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lillestrøm v Brann takes place on 25 October 2026 · 16:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm); Mohammad Usman Aslam will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.35 | 3.96 | 2.84 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.88 | 32.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.35 | 68.4% |
| BTTS – no | 3.10 | 2.94 | 31.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 5th (42 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
- Form in the competition: Lillestrøm 11W 3D 9L (32:31), Brann 9W 2D 12L (40:37).
- H2H: 17 matches: Lillestrøm 4W 4D 9L, goals 17–28.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lillestrøm vs Brann: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lillestrøm
- C. Jebarainjury · will miss the match
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful
Brann
- N. Boakyeknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Kjartanssonknee injury · will miss the match
- U. Mathisenfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Opsahlfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Sorensenabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 | |
| 2 | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 | |
| 3 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 | |
| 4 | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 | |
| 5 | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 | |
| 6 | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 | |
| 7 | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 | |
| 8 | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 | |
| 9 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 | |
| 10 | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 | |
| 11 | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 | |
| 12 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 | |
| 13 | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 | |
| 14 | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 | |
| 15 | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 | |
| 16 | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Brann: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lillestrøm: 5th, 42 points from 25 matches (13W 3D 9L). Brann: 7th, 32 points (10W 2D 13L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lillestrøm 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded, Brann 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lillestrøm: 11W 3D 9L, goals 32–31; Brann: 9W 2D 12L, goals 40–37.
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Lillestrøm 4 wins, Brann 9 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 17–28.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.88), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 68% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Lillestrøm 4 wins, 4 draws, Brann 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lillestrøm 32–31, Brann 40–37.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Lillestrøm 2, Brann 5.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, odds up to 2.05). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Not available for Brann: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lillestrøm vs Brann: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Lillestrøm vs Brann: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lillestrøm vs Brann: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lillestrøm vs Brann?
On the result, our pick is Lillestrøm or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.88). Prefer less risk? Go for Lillestrøm or draw (1X).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Brann?
As we see it: Lillestrøm to win 41%, the draw 25%, Brann to win 34%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 16:00, at Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, E. B. Garnas. Brann: N. Boakye, K. Kjartansson, U. Mathisen, S. Opsahl, J. Sorensen. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.42), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 68% (odds 1.40).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (9.4%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
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