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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1AC Milan1.36
XDraw5.60
2Ferencvárosi TC9.50

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:28

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AC Milan v Ferencvárosi TC takes place on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milan). We back AC Milan (71%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: tip and prediction
Result
AC Milan to win
1.36
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
AC Milan & over 2.5 goals
2.00
50% · fair combo odds
71%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: AC Milan or draw (1X) – probability 89%, odds up to 1.09.

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AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.365.609.50
Market average1.315.228.45
Lowest odds1.254.726.76
Megapari1.365.279.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1481.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5161.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.502.4238.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.382.3040.9%
BTTS – yes1.911.8450.8%
BTTS – no1.951.9049.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: AC Milan 2–0 Ferencvárosi TC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: AC Milan 24th (3 points), Ferencvárosi TC 4th (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: AC Milan 1W 0D 2L (4:5), Ferencvárosi TC 9W 2D 0L (25:8).
  • Absences: AC Milan 0, Ferencvárosi TC 0.

Who will win AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?

AC Milan71%
Draw18%
Ferencvárosi TC11%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: more betting markets

AC Milan or draw (1X)88.9% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 1.5 goals81.3% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
AC Milan to win71.0% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.64
Possible
Both teams score: yes50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams score: no49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.38
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.50
Outsider
Draw17.9% · fair odds 5.59 · best 5.60
Outsider
Ferencvárosi TC to win11.1% · fair odds 9.01 · best 9.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.10 · Under 1.66
probability of over 44.1%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.3%
1 : 09.6%
2 : 19.6%
3 : 08.8%
1 : 18.1%
3 : 17.5%

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: injuries, suspensions, absences

AC Milan

  • No reported absences

Ferencvárosi TC

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

AC Milan

31 OctWAC Milan 3–1 Inter
28 OctLAC Milan 2–4 Bologna
25 OctWUdinese 0–2 AC Milan
22 OctLBournemouth 3–0 AC Milan
18 OctWAC Milan 3–2 Atalanta

Ferencvárosi TC

22 OctWFerencvárosi TC 4–1 Torreense
15 OctWFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň
17 SeptWCeltic 1–3 Ferencvárosi TC
27 AugWFerencvárosi TC 4–0 Trabzonspor
20 AugWTrabzonspor 0–1 Ferencvárosi TC

Home and away

AC Milan at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2
Ferencvárosi TC away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. AC Milan: 24th, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Ferencvárosi TC: 4th, 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AC Milan 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded, Ferencvárosi TC 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. AC Milan: 1W 0D 2L, goals 4–5; Ferencvárosi TC: 9W 2D 0L, goals 25–8.

What to expect

We make AC Milan the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Ferencvárosi TC look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: AC Milan 4–5, Ferencvárosi TC 25–8.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
  3. Not available: AC Milan 0, Ferencvárosi TC 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.64). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for AC Milan: no absences. Not available for Ferencvárosi TC: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: the numbers side by side

AC MilanFerencvárosi TC
17%Form83%
22%Attack78%
38%Defence63%
25.7%Overall74.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

AC MilanLWL
Ferencvárosi TCWWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?

On the result, our pick is AC Milan to win (1.36); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for AC Milan or draw (1X).

Who will win AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?

As we see it: AC Milan to win 71%, the draw 18%, Ferencvárosi TC to win 11%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 17:45, at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan.

Who will be missing?

AC Milan: no absences. Ferencvárosi TC: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.57), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.50).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.91).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (11.3%), 1–0 (9.6%), 2–1 (9.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovReal Sociedad vs Lyon 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.