Bet with MINO CASINO →Real Sociedad entertain Lyon on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Anoeta (San Sebastián). Real Sociedad (51%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.91 | 4.09 | 4.03 |
| Market average | 1.85 | 3.84 | 3.82 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.33 | 3.15 |
| Megapari | 1.91 | 3.96 | 3.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.37 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.40 | 39.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 61.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.6%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Real Sociedad 1–1 Lyon, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Real Sociedad 14th (4 points), Lyon 12th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Real Sociedad 1W 1D 1L (8:3), Lyon 2W 0D 1L (5:6).
- H2H: 2 matches: Real Sociedad 2W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Absences: Real Sociedad 0, Lyon 0.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: injuries, suspensions, absences
Real Sociedad
- No reported absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Real Sociedad
Home and away
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Real Sociedad: 14th, 4 points from 3 matches (1W 1D 1L). Lyon: 12th, 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Real Sociedad 2.7 scored and 1.0 conceded, Lyon 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Real Sociedad: 1W 1D 1L, goals 8–3; Lyon: 2W 0D 1L, goals 5–6.
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Real Sociedad 2 wins, Lyon 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 4–0.
What to expect
We make Real Sociedad the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.53), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; Real Sociedad 2 wins, 0 draws, Lyon 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Real Sociedad 8–3, Lyon 5–6.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Real Sociedad 0, Lyon 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Real Sociedad: no absences. Not available for Lyon: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Real SociedadWDLLyonLWWReal Sociedad vs Lyon: head to head
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Real Sociedad vs Lyon: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
On the result, our pick is Real Sociedad to win (1.91); on goals, Both teams to score (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Real Sociedad or draw (1X).
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
As we see it: Real Sociedad to win 51%, the draw 24%, Lyon to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
5 November 2026, 17:45, at Anoeta, San Sebastián.
Who will be missing?
Real Sociedad: no absences. Lyon: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.60), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.48).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (8.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.