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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia tip, odds and prediction, 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Plzeň1.78
XDraw4.00
2Levski Sofia4.90

Top odds available · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Plzeň v Levski Sofia takes place on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Doosan Arena (Pilsner); Alejandro Hernández will referee. We back Plzeň (55%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: tip and prediction
Result
Plzeň to win
1.78
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
Combo
Plzeň & over 2.5 goals
2.94
34% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Plzeň or draw (1X) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.21.

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Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.784.004.90
Market average1.733.864.68
Lowest odds1.703.634.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2476.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8052.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.102.0247.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.092.9032.5%
BTTS – yes1.751.7353.9%
BTTS – no2.052.0246.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Plzeň 1–1 Levski Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Plzeň 33rd (0 points), Levski Sofia 17th (4 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Plzeň 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
  • Absences: Plzeň 0, Levski Sofia 0.

Who will win Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?

Plzeň55%
Draw25%
Levski Sofia20%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: more betting markets

Plzeň or draw (1X)79.7% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.0% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Plzeň to win55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.78
Possible
Both teams score: yes53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both teams score: no46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 3.09
Outsider
Draw24.7% · fair odds 4.05 · best 4.00
Outsider
Levski Sofia to win20.3% · fair odds 4.92 · best 4.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.4%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.10 · Under 1.69
probability of over 44.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.2%
1 : 011.2%
2 : 19.8%
2 : 09.8%
0 : 16.4%
0 : 06.4%

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: injuries, suspensions, absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Levski Sofia

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Plzeň

1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň
15 OctLFerencvárosi TC 2–1 Plzeň

Levski Sofia

22 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
15 OctDNEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia
17 SeptLLevski Sofia 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg

Home and away

Plzeň at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–5
Levski Sofia away2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 3–2

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Plzeň: 33rd, 0 points from 3 matches (0W 0D 3L). Levski Sofia: 17th, 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Plzeň 0 wins, Levski Sofia 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 1–2.

What to expect

We make Plzeň the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Levski Sofia look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Plzeň 0 wins, 0 draws, Levski Sofia 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
  4. Not available: Plzeň 0, Levski Sofia 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Plzeň: no absences. Not available for Levski Sofia: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: head to head

All matches
0Plzeň
0Draws
1Levski Sofia
22/10/26 · Plzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?

On the result, our pick is Plzeň to win (1.78); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Plzeň or draw (1X).

Who will win Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?

As we see it: Plzeň to win 55%, the draw 25%, Levski Sofia to win 20%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 October 2026, 20:00, at Doosan Arena, Pilsner. Referee: Alejandro Hernández.

Who will be missing?

Plzeň: no absences. Levski Sofia: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.86), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.10).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–0 (11.2%), 2–1 (9.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.