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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11 · 21 November 2026 · 19:45

Lille vs Lyon tip, odds and prediction, 21 November 2026, Ligue 1

WDDWL
VS
WLWLW
1Lille2.52
XDraw3.75
2Lyon2.85

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Lille entertain Lyon on 21 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Lille vs Lyon: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Lille or draw (1X)
1.48
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.45
66%chance of the result
66%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Lille vs Lyon: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.523.752.85
Market average2.423.582.78
Lowest odds2.353.402.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2277.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7554.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.1345.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.862.8033.7%
BTTS – yes1.621.5958.8%
BTTS – no2.302.2741.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lille 1–1 Lyon, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Lyon 3rd (17 points).
  • Absences: Lille 0, Lyon 0.

Who will win Lille vs Lyon?

Lille39%
Draw27%
Lyon34%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lille vs Lyon: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals77.4% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.45
Likely
Lille or draw (1X)65.8% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.48
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.18
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.30
Outsider
Lille to win39.2% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.52
Outsider
Lyon to win34.2% · fair odds 2.92 · best 2.85
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.7% · fair odds 2.96 · best 2.86
Outsider
Draw26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
2 : 18.7%
1 : 08.3%
1 : 28.1%
0 : 17.7%
2 : 06.2%

Lille vs Lyon: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lille

  • No reported absences

Lyon

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lille vs Lyon: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Lille

30 OctWLille 1–0 Lens
25 OctDMonaco 1–1 Lille
21 OctLLille 2–4 Galatasaray
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
13 OctLArsenal 3–0 Lille

Lyon

1 NovWLyon 2–0 Angers
26 OctLParis Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
22 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWLyon 2–1 Nice
15 OctWLyon 3–2 Crystal Palace

Home and away

Lille at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 7–3
Lyon away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 3–4

Lille vs Lyon: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lille: 2nd, 18 points from 9 matches (5W 3D 1L). Lyon: 3rd, 17 points (5W 2D 2L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  2. Not available: Lille 0, Lyon 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lille: no absences. Not available for Lyon: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Lille vs Lyon: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lille vs Lyon?

On the result, our pick is Lille or draw (1X) (1.48); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Lille or draw (1X).

Who will win Lille vs Lyon?

As we see it: Lille to win 39%, the draw 27%, Lyon to win 34%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 November 2026, 19:45, at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille.

Who will be missing?

Lille: no absences. Lyon: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.79), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.6%), 2–1 (8.7%), 1–0 (8.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.