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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7 · 17 October 2026 · 19:45

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, Ligue 1

WDDWL
1–1
1Lille2.08
XDraw3.78
2Stade Brestois 293.72

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lille and Stade Brestois 29 meet on 17 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille), under referee C. Turpin. Lille (47%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: tip and prediction
Result
Lille to win
2.08
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.46
47%chance of the result
66%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Lille or draw (1X) – probability 73%, odds up to 1.32.

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Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.083.783.72
Market average2.053.623.53
Lowest odds2.003.503.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2077.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7454.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.1145.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.852.7234.4%
BTTS – yes1.651.6157.7%
BTTS – no2.222.2042.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Stade Brestois 29 14th (9 points).
  • Absences: Lille 0, Stade Brestois 29 0.

Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?

Lille47%
Draw26%
Stade Brestois 2927%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals77.5% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.22
Likely
Lille or draw (1X)73.0% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.32
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.6% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.46
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.7% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.8% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.79
Possible
Lille to win46.6% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.08
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.18
Outsider
Both teams score: no42.3% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.22
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.4% · fair odds 2.91 · best 2.85
Outsider
Stade Brestois 29 to win27.0% · fair odds 3.70 · best 3.72
Outsider
Draw26.4% · fair odds 3.79 · best 3.78
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.96 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.6%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.11 · Under 1.69
probability of over 44.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
1 : 09.5%
2 : 19.4%
2 : 07.9%
0 : 16.9%
1 : 26.9%

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lille

  • No reported absences

Stade Brestois 29

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Lille

30 OctWLille 1–0 Lens
25 OctDMonaco 1–1 Lille
21 OctLLille 2–4 Galatasaray
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
13 OctLArsenal 3–0 Lille

Stade Brestois 29

23 OctLStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
10 OctWStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
20 SeptLAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
13 SeptLStade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint Germain

Home and away

Lille at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 7–3
Stade Brestois 29 away4 matches: 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–6

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lille: 2nd, 18 points from 9 matches (5W 3D 1L). Stade Brestois 29: 14th, 9 points (2W 3D 3L).

What to expect

We make Lille the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  2. Not available: Lille 0, Stade Brestois 29 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lille: no absences. Not available for Stade Brestois 29: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?

On the result, our pick is Lille to win (2.08); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.46). Prefer less risk? Go for Lille or draw (1X).

Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?

As we see it: Lille to win 47%, the draw 26%, Stade Brestois 29 to win 27%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: C. Turpin.

Who will be missing?

Lille: no absences. Stade Brestois 29: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.79), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.65).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 1–0 (9.5%), 2–1 (9.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.